US-Cuban Détente is China’s Loss? Ludicrous in the Extreme

Published in Huanqiu
(China) on 19 December 2014
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Nathan Hsu. Edited by Nathan Moseley.
On Dec. 17, President Obama announced the normalization of relations between the United States and Cuba, stating that the U.S. policy of isolating Cuba over the last half century had not achieved the desired effect. Obama's new policy includes negotiating the reestablishment of relations with Cuba and expanding U.S.-Cuban business and tourist exchanges, among other conditions. Prior to Obama’s speech, the two nations also exchanged prisoners held by each side.

As a small nation of 11.16 million people situated just beyond the U.S. border, Cuba's perseverance in the face of the prolonged embargo imposed by its larger neighbor could well be called a miracle. Obama has declared that the methods previously exercised by his nation have “not worked” and that Cuba's successful safeguarding of its political independence and autonomy now prescribe a more delicate approach.

With the dissolution of the Soviet Union, Cuba quickly found itself by the wayside, and for decades was subjected to heavy political and economic pressure from the United States. As regimes throughout Latin America were toppled in the following years, many expected that Castro's final days were approaching as well.

The United States’ change in tune toward Cuba is a microcosm of the larger limits of U.S. power. It also demonstrates that even a small nation, when united within, can become a fortress against all else.

Latin America is the traditional backyard of the United States, and few states are nearer to the U.S. than Cuba. The ultimate failure of the U.S. embargo against Cuba will alter the rest of the world's assessment of the true bite that remaining U.S. sanctions have. After all, if the United States is unable to best a nation on its very doorstep with an embargo, it begins to appear less certain whether sanctions will fare any better against North Korea, Iran or Russia.

The global community generally frowns upon sanctions, and for the past 22 years, the United Nations General Assembly has passed resolutions seeking an end to the U.S. isolation of Cuba, evincing the overall lack of support for such an unjust cause.

China's persistence in walking the path of socialism and its successful reform and opening to the world have obviously inspired Cuba. The myriad adjustments to Havana's internal policy in recent years, as well as the work toward easing U.S.-Cuban relations have both been implemented following in China’s footsteps. It would seem that the process of switching the course of development for the country will soon reach a successful conclusion.

There are some on the Chinese Internet who regard the thaw in U.S.-Cuban relations as “China's failure.” Bias has left these individuals bereft of the most basic ability to comprehend the world. With only a mind set on “opposing China at every turn,” they happily serve as the peanut gallery of the global forum.

A Cuba that walks the path of reform and openness will come to have a deeper understanding of China's own path, a power of understanding that will spread throughout all of Latin America, and even perhaps the entire third world. The record shows that the vast majority of developing countries, regardless of what manner their transformation may take, highly regards and admires China's experience. Meanwhile, they have maintained limited relations with Washington as a result of the many cautionary examples where interior reform has led to revolutionary change. To this day, Serbia, Egypt, Iraq and South Sudan all remain friends of China.

The Soviet Union has collapsed, but Cuba lives on. Many saw the influence of the Chinese example at work within Vietnam's drive for reform and openness, while Cuba out in far-away Latin America stood alone, given up by some as a lost cause. By making these naysayers eat their words, it proves that this is a world meant to support diversity, and not a world in which one system rules everything under the sun.

The normalization of U.S.-Cuban relations has caused yet another flower of ideology within foreign relations to wither away. Nations all over the world have gained new data to factor into the calculus of their interests. And while there are yet several powers that doggedly steep themselves in the Cold War psyche, the bitter grays of the past have now become the last shades remaining on their ideological palette. From Washington's Capitol Hill to the Chinese Internet, there are voices that never cease to prove this point.


美国总统奥巴马17日宣布,美国将与古巴关系正常化。他说,美国50多年来孤立古巴的政策并没有达到预期目的。奥巴马的新政策包括开启与古巴建交的磋商,加大美古商业与旅游往来等。在奥巴马讲话之前,美国和古巴相互交换了拘押的对方特工。
  古巴作为美国边上的一个1116万人口小国能够熬过后者的漫长制裁,大概要算一个“奇迹”。现在是美国总统宣布他的国家“方法不对”,古巴守住了政治上的独立自主,迎来了峰回路转。
  古巴当年因苏联解体被撂在半路,长期承受了来自美国的巨大政治及经济压力。美国在拉美颠覆过多个国家的政权,很多人都曾预期,卡斯特罗政权的倒台“指日可待”。
  美国对古政策改弦更张,是美国国家力量局限的一个缩影。它还证明了一个小国一旦有了内部团结,可以成为多么有韧性的堡垒。
  拉美是美国的传统后院,古巴与美近在咫尺,美国对古制裁几乎可以尽情发挥,但最终以失败告终,会影响世界对美仍在执行的一些制裁效果的评估。如果美国用制裁搞不定家门口的古巴,它究竟能把朝鲜、伊朗、俄罗斯等怎么样,真是很难说。
  制裁在这个世界上总体上不受欢迎。联合国大会连续22年通过决议,要求美国结束对古巴的封锁,这说明美国的对古制裁一直“失道寡助”。
  中国对社会主义道路的坚守和改革开放的成功显然鼓舞了古巴。哈瓦那这些年国内政策的重大调整,以及对缓和古美关系的努力,都受到了中国道路的启示。它似乎正在实现国家发展模式转轨的软着陆。
  在中国互联网上看到一些浅薄之士将古美关系改善视为“中国的失败”,价值观上的偏执使这些人失去了对世界的基本认识能力,他们只剩下“逢中国政府必反”这一把尺子,他们自甘充当国际舆论场上的“蚁族”。
  走向改革开放的古巴将对中国的国家道路拥有更深刻的理解,类似的理解力在整个拉美、乃至第三世界不断延伸。事实证明,世界绝大多数转型国家、无论它们的转型方式是什么,都高度重视、钦佩中国的经验。它们的对华关系几乎没有因为国内改革而出现颠覆性变化的例子。塞尔维亚、埃及、伊拉克、南苏丹等至今都是中国的朋友。
  苏联垮了,古巴“活”了下来。越南改革开放被认为有中国模式影响力的直接辐射作支撑,而古巴孤悬拉美,力薄势单,曾被一些人认定陷入绝境。它能让无数预言家大跌眼镜,证明了这个世界就是为多元、而不是为了某种模式一统天下而设计的。
  美古关系正常化让又一朵外交的意识形态之花凋落了。世界各国对利益的理解又多了一个新参数。世界上仍有一些力量沉浸在冷战思维中执迷不悟,旧的意识形态残片是他们仅有的思想材料。从美国国会山到中国互联网,都有一些声音不断证明这种情形的存在。
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