Hillary on the Attack and Under Fire

Published in El Universal
(Mexico) on 20 April 2015
by Gabriel Guerra Castellanos (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Jessica Fernandez Rhodes. Edited by Gillian Palmer.
With over year and a half left until the next U.S. presidential election, there is already a cast of candidates worthy of a Shakespearean play, or maybe by an author of surrealist or Kafkaesque influence.

It is unusual, but by now the Democratic Party is quite clear on who its favorite candidate is. Unless something truly unexpected happens, Hillary Rodham Clinton will be its representative. Even though she drastically lost the nomination eight years ago against Barack Obama, there seems to be no one today ready to face this woman, who, besides being quite the character, is part of what undoubtedly is the most formidable political duo of modern times in the U.S.

The Bill and Hillary pair remains, after 23 years, an exceptional unit for raising funds, weaving alliances, and obtaining benefits of what has been a political career that could not only transcend the conjugal limits, as it has already done, but also, eventually, become hereditary.

Hereditary is also the style within the Republican Party, where the unusual case of a third member of the Bush clan reaching the White House could occur. Jeb has built a career relatively similar to that of his brother George, in Florida instead of Texas, where his government was reasonably fortunate, at least enough to leave him as the aspiring candidate to be beaten, having not yet formalized his intentions, which are clear to everyone.

Along with him there will be others tagging along, some more presentable than others. The field ranges from the truly shocking Ted Cruz, who mixes the most profound ignorance with the most intense verbal incontinence, to the much more interesting Marco Rubio, whose Latino roots slightly offset his very conservative posture on immigration issues and could help Republicans defeat the Latino veto that they have earned in recent years with their ardent rejection of an exhaustive immigration reform that will help millions leave the shadows of illegality.

These two and several others have already started to look for what will be a highly disputed candidacy, in which we will see low blows, a dirty war and much populist radicalism. Sadly, what once was a symbol of conservative sanity and moderation, today the Republican Party is fighting against its own ghosts: those of the tea party, which threatens to kidnap it, the ones from the radical religious wing without which no Republican candidate can win now, and the neoliberal excesses of some of their most brilliant minds — who also happen to be disconnected from reality.

With over year and a half to go, it is early for any prediction, at least on the Republican side. The only thing guaranteed is an authentic festival of hatred and resentment against the government of and Barack Obama himself, who has become a symbol of everything the lifelong WASPs, and those who aspire to be like them, loathe.

There is not much left of the Republican establishment, the ones who went to major universities, who had traveled, read, studied, and whose conservatism was based on knowledge. Today we have, instead, an ignorant right wing and proud to be so, with a vision that would like to be religion-based, but does not even achieve that, for their interpretation of the scriptures is limited by their closed minds and intellectual limitations.

Those are the ones Hillary will face, and she will most likely not have an opponent in the Democrats' internal process, but is already under attack by all aspiring Republicans. They hate her for being a Democrat, for being the continuation of Bill's very successful model, for being a woman, for having worked with Obama. And they hate her because she is thoughtful, articulate and tough as nails.

This will be the contest. We will have a year and a half to see, as a laboratory, what has become of the U.S. political class.

It would be laughable if the world's future were not in their hands.


Falta más de año y medio para las próximas elecciones presidenciales en Estados Unidos, pero ya hay un elenco ‎de aspirantes digno de una obra shakespereana, o tal vez de algún autor surrealista o de influencia kafkiana.

Cosa inusual, a estas alturas el Partido Demócrata ya tiene bastante claridad en cuanto a su candidato, o mejor dicho candidata, preferido. A menos que suceda algo verdaderamente imprevisto, Hillary Rodham Clinton será la abanderada. Aunque perdió la nominación estrepitosamente hace ocho años frente a Barack Obama, no parece hoy haber quien se le enfrente a esta mujer que, además de ser todo un personaje, forma parte de la que es indudablemente el binomio político más formidable de los tiempos modernos en EU.

‎La dupla de Bill y Hillary sigue siendo, 23 años después, un aparato excepcional para recaudar fondos, tejer alianzas y obtener los beneficios de la que ha sido una carrera política que bien podría no sólo trascender las líneas conyugales, como ya lo ha hecho, sino también eventualmente volverse hereditaria.

Hereditarios son también los estilos en el Partido Republicano, donde podría darse el caso inusitado de que un tercer miembro del clan Bush llegase a la Casa Blanca. Jeb ha hecho una carrera relativamente parecida a la de su hermano George, en Florida en vez de Texas, ‎donde su gubernatura fue razonablemente afortunada, lo suficientemente al menos para dejarlo como el precandidato a vencer, aun no habiendo formalizado sus intenciones, que lo son claras para todos.

Acompañarán a Bush varios compañeros, unos más presentables que otros. Desde el verdaderamente impactante Ted Cruz, que combina la más profunda ignorancia ‎con la más intensa incontinencia verbal, hasta el mucho más interesante Marco Rubio, cuyas raíces latinas compensan un poco su muy conservadora postura en materia migratoria y podría ayudar a los republicanos a vencer el veto latino, que se han ganado a pulso en los últimos años con su ferviente rechazo ‎a una reforma de fondo en materia de migración que ayude a los millones en las sombras a salir del clandestinaje.

Ellos dos y varios más han arrancado ya en busca de lo que será una muy disputada candidatura, en la que veremos golpes bajos, guerra sucia y mucho radicalismo populista. ‎ Tristemente para el que ‎alguna vez fue símbolo de la cordura y moderación conservadoras, el Partido Republicano hoy lucha contra sus fantasmas: los del Tea Party que amenazan con secuestrarlo, con los del ala radical religiosa sin la cual ya ningún candidato republicano puede ganar, y los excesos neoliberales de algunas de sus mentes más brillantes y a la vez desconectadas de la realidad.

A más de un año y medio es prematuro cualquier vaticinio, por lo menos del lado de republicano. Lo único que sí está garantizado es un auténtico festival de odio y resentimiento contra ‎la gestión y la persona de Barack Obama, que se ha convertido en el símbolo de todo lo que detestan los WASPs de toda la vida y quienes aspiran a ser como ellos.

Poco, muy poco queda del establishment republicano, ese que iba a las grandes universidades, que había viajado, leído, estudiado y cuyo conservadurismo estaba basado en el conocimiento. Hoy tenemos, en cambio, a una derecha ignorante y orgullosa de serlo, con una visión que quisiera estar basada en la religión, pero que ni siquiera lo logra, pues su lectura de las escrituras esta limitada por su cerrazón mental y sus limitaciones intelectuales.

A esos se enfrentará Hillary, quien no tendrá probablemente contrincante en el proceso interno de los demócratas pero que ya recibe fuego granado de todos los aspirantes republicanos. La odian por ser demócrata, por ser la continuidad del muy exitoso modelo de Bill, por ser mujer, por haber trabajado con Obama. Y la odian por ser ‎pensante, articulada y dura como un clavo.

Esa será la contienda. Tendremos año y medio para observar, como en laboratorio, en lo que se ha convertido la clase política estadounidense.

Sería de risa si el futuro del mundo no estuviera en sus manos.
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