Hillary Clinton, President, Unless…

Presumably, it’s over. In less than 100 days, Hillary Clinton will be chosen by Americans as the 45th president of the United States, and the first woman president. Yet, it would be hazardous to presume that the Democratic candidate will win the election on Nov. 8. Rather, it’s her rival, Donald Trump, who will lose the election, like Nicolas Sarkozy lost in France in 2012.

Since the Republican convention in Cleveland, where he managed to preserve the unity of the Republican Party, Trump seems to be taking a step down the stairs of hell every day, indeed, every hour. There is a stampede among the ranks of his own party. A dissident candidacy has emerged. Elected state representatives including a member of Congress, an influential senator, a former director of the CIA and former elected officials have announced loud and clear that they will not vote for him.

Numerous donors who supported other Republican candidates during the primaries are now choosing to give their money to the other party. Trump’s economic program is considered disappointing, his diplomatic program worrisome.

His rash words about children and veterans have alienated him from millions of voters. Photos and his wife’s lies have resolved nothing. His poll ratings have plunged. Indeed, the pathetic campaign of Republican candidate Bob Dole who faced off against another Clinton 20 years ago seems almost exemplary.

Theoretically, therefore, it’s done. Of course, the campaign is likely to be nauseating in the next few weeks and there may be new stories that get released about Hillary Clinton. Of course, Democrats Jimmy Carter in 1980 and Al Gore in 2000 lost the November elections even though they led the polls in August. Still, Trump is neither Ronald Reagan nor even George W. Bush.

It’s done… unless the extravagant Republican candidate actually succeeds in reaching the American electorate much more profoundly than the experts, the pollsters and the political analysts expect. Trump plays not only to the decline of political correctness, but he also completely pits people against the elite, elites who are held in contempt everywhere in the United States outside of Washington, who did not know how to restore prosperity to the majority, who let colossal inequalities grow even bigger, and who did not punish the culprits of the 2008 financial crisis.

It’s the same cause that tilted the Brexit referendum to a win last June. It’s the cause that will try to vote Marine Le Pen into office next year. In theory, the American election is over, unless the gap between the governing and the governed shows itself to be much deeper than we believed.