Reducing US Armed Forces in Korea Now a Pressing Issue

Published in MK News
(South Korea) on 20 July 2020
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Sean Kim. Edited by Daniel Rosen.
On July 17, The Wall Street Journal reported that as U.S. President Donald Trump’s demands for a steep increase in South Korea’s share of defense costs were causing conflict with the United States, the U.S. Department of Defense had been tendering a few options to reduce the number of its troops stationed in Korea to the White House.

This means that Trump has been considering a reduction since the DOD offered similar troop reduction options for Afghanistan and Germany back in March. The Pentagon neither confirms nor denies this, saying, "We routinely review global force posture, our forces remain postured to respond to any threat, and the president has been clear and consistent regarding cost sharing worldwide."* From the U.S. government’s transition away from public denials of plans to draw down their armed forces in Korea, it seems that this has become an urgent issue.

There is a great likelihood that the reduction option is a card to be played to pressure for a raise in Korea’s share of the defense costs — U.S. elections are just three months away. On June 15, Trump said, “we’re gonna bring down the soldier count [in Germany] to 25,000 soldiers,” until Germany paid more for their defense costs. He continued, “I’m not only talking about Germany … I’m talking about plenty of other countries.”

However, it is hard to conclude that statements like these are merely bluffs for negotiation; the presence of U.S. troops overseas seems more of a costly liability than a strategic asset to Trump. Our government should not expect the Trump administration to make decisions based on the U.S.-South Korea alliance alone.

In a time where North Korean leader Kim Jong Un espouses the idea of “war deterrence” and the threat of armed provocation is always present, the reduction of American armed forces in Korea could possibly give the North the wrong idea and even raise danger from a U.S.-opposing China. Now, we must prepare for the worst-case scenario in which we muster all of our diplomatic capabilities to convince the United States of the necessity of the U.S. Armed Forces in the South as the security tripwire in the Korean peninsula.

It is much too hesitant and facile on the part of the ruling party to sympathize with the United States by saying that “the U.S. Armed Forces in Korea is overcapacity for the military power of the U.S.-South Korea alliance,” when the problem of North Korean nuclearization has not yet been resolved. Right now, everyone should gather their wisdom and take emergency action.

*Editor’s Note: This quote came from an unnamed Pentagon official who spoke to South Korea’s Yonhap News Agency.


도널드 트럼프 미국 대통령의 방위비 분담금 대폭 인상 요구로 한미 간 갈등이 빚어지는 가운데 미 국방부가 여러 개의 주한미군 감축 옵션을 백악관에 보고했다고 월스트리트저널(WSJ)이 17일(현지시간) 보도했다. 미 국방부가 이미 올 3월 아프가니스탄, 독일 외에 주한미군 감축 옵션을 보고해 트럼프 대통령이 이를 검토 중이라는 것이다. 이에 대해 미 국방부는 "우리는 전 세계 군사 태세를 일상적으로 검토하고 있다"며 시인도 부인도 하지 않고 있다. 그동안 미 정부가 주한미군 감축 연계설을 공개적으로 부인해오던 것과 기류가 달라진 것으로, 주한미국 감축설이 발등의 불이 된 셈이다.

주한미군 감축 옵션은 미 대선을 3개월 앞두고 한국 정부에 대한 방위비 인상 압박 카드일 가능성이 크다. 실제로 트럼프 대통령은 지난달 15일 "방위비를 더 낼 때까지 주독미군을 2만5000명으로 줄이겠다"면서 "독일 얘기만이 아니다"며 한국을 겨냥한 바 있다. 하지만 이 같은 언급이 협상용 엄포로 끝날지는 속단하기 어렵다. 트럼프 대통령에겐 미군의 해외 주둔에 따른 전략적 가치보다 비용 낭비라는 생각이 강하기 때문이다. 우리 정부가 한미동맹에 입각한 트럼프 행정부의 결단만 기대해선 안 되는 이유다.김정은 국방위원장이 `전쟁억제력 강화`를 강조하고 북한의 무력도발 위협이 여전한 마당에 주한미군 감축은 자칫 북한에 잘못된 신호를 주고 미국에 맞서는 중국 위협까지 키울 수 있다. 이제라도 우리의 외교 역량을 총동원해 한반도 안보의 인계철선 역할을 하는 주한미군의 필요성을 알리고 최악의 사태에도 대비해야 한다. 북핵 문제가 전혀 해소되지 않은 상황에서 여권을 중심으로 "주한미군은 한미동맹 군사력의 오버캐퍼(overcapacity)"라며 감축론에 동조하는 것은 너무 성급하고 안이한 자세다. 지금은 모두가 지혜를 모아 비상 대응에 나서야 할 때다.
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