Russia, US Disagree on Just about Everything. However, There Is 1 Problem They Are Willing To Cooperate On

Published in Aftenposten
(Norway) on 13 July 2021
by Gina Grieg Riisnæs (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Jennifer Juveth. Edited by Gillian Palmer.
Both superpowers are climate villains. Both want to do something about it. But first, there is one question they have to answer.

"There couldn't be more at stake," John Kerry said when his plane landed this weekend.* These days, the diplomat travels from country to country on United States business. He has one topic on his agenda: climate change. Monday was no exception.

When Kerry arrived in Moscow, he met with Russian Minister of Foreign Affairs Sergey Lavrov. The meeting took place during a time when the relationship between the two world powers is more tense than it has been for a long time.

A Difficult Backdrop

Cyber warfare. Regional conflicts. Ambassador chaos.

These are keywords in the icy relationship between the United States and Russia. The tension was crystal clear in June, when Presidents Joe Biden and Vladimir Putin met. It was the first time in three years that the countries' top leaders shook hands.

In 2018, it was former President Donald Trump and Putin who stood face-to-face. The meeting was labeled a "terrible spectacle" by Trump's former adviser, Fiona Hill.

The meeting in June went much better, but the expectations had also been heavily toned down, according to political analyst Dmitri Trenin. The goal was primarily that the two world leaders would talk together and express their expectations for each other — and they did that.

Optimistic, but tense. That's how the meeting was evaluated in retrospect.

At the same time, the presidents pointed out climate as a challenge that it might be possible for them to work together on in the future. In Monday's meeting, Kerry and Lavrov took those intentions a cautious step further.

More Important than Atomic Weapons

The two leaders started out by each expressing what they thought about the world's climate crisis. Then they underscored how important they believe it is to do something about it. The two politicians have been central in world politics for a long time. Lavrov has been minister of foreign affairs for 17 years, since 2004. Kerry's political career reaches back to the 1970s. Through the years, the Vietnam veteran has operated under several different titles. From 2013-2017, he was the secretary of state under President Barack Obama.

Through the years, Lavrov and Kerry met a number of times. They have had a wide range of world problems on the agenda. They have negotiated about chemical weapons and atomic weapons. Monday's meeting about climate was just as critical and acute as those topics, according to Kerry. He and Lavrov agreed that they will cooperate in the future to solve climate challenges.

No Clear Solution

Russia and the U.S. are both responsible for a large percentage of the world's greenhouse gas emissions. The U.S. comes in second place, after China, among the countries with the most greenhouse gas emissions in the world. Russia comes in fourth. So how will they bring them down? Neither Lavrov nor Kerry had the answer in Monday's meeting.

However, the fact that Russia wants to talk about climate at all is a huge step forward — at least, Espen Moe believes so. He's a professor in international politics and energy at the Norwegian University of Science and Technology. Still, he says he will take Lavrov's word on cooperation and emissions cuts with a grain of salt.

"I'll believe it when I see it. Russia has long been a straggler when it comes to reaching climate goals. So we will see what actually happens and what they eventually come to an agreement on."

There are still some potential bright spots, though.

Climate as a Springboard

That the two countries have agreed to work together can pave the way for discussion about other issues the U.S. and Russia are in conflict over. Lavrov even said that cooperation on climate issues can start a dialogue about other issues between the two countries. Kerry backed the idea.

That the United States and Russia have indicated that they want to discuss climate, despite other bitter conflicts, is "potentially extremely important," according to Moe.

"The biggest climate threat we're facing now is that we're moving toward a world where world powers no longer talk to each other," he explains. "Climate solutions are becoming more and more international. It is no longer sufficient that a country takes action only within its own borders. Renewable energy has to be connected over country borders. That type of cooperation is relatively easy to accomplish in Europe, but much more difficult in other places."

The Way Forward

In November, the United Nations will hold a climate change summit in Glasgow, Scotland. Over 200 countries are expected to take part in it. There is great anticipation connected to the meeting, now that the United States has signed the Paris Agreement again.

At the same time, many claim that the challenges surrounding climate are reaching new heights. In June, the news agency AFP shared parts of a report from the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. The world is about to reach several thresholds for greenhouse gas emissions, the report maintains. When those thresholds are reached, it will be too late to turn back.

In January, Kerry said that the U.N.'s climate summit is the world's "best, last chance" to take drastic action against greenhouse emissions.

"Those are the kind of headlines that look good in the news, but we've been talking about 'last chances' for over 15 years now," Moe says. "If this last chance isn't taken, that doesn't mean we just have to give up. None of this is black and white."

In the meantime, Kerry has two days left in Moscow. His visit will last through Thursday. It is expected that he will discuss climate strategies with other Russian politicians.

*Editor’s Note: This quotation, accurately translated, could not be verified.


Russland og USA er uenige om det meste. Men ett problem vil de samarbeide om.
Begge stormaktene er klimaverstinger. Begge vil gjøre noe med det. Men først må de svare på ett spørsmål.
– Det kunne ikke stått mer på spill, sa John Kerry da han landet med flyet i helgen.
I disse dager reiser diplomaten fra land til land i USAs ærend. Han har ett tema på agendaen: klima.
Mandag var intet unntak. Da ankom han Russlands hovedstad Moskva. Der møtte han den russiske utenriksministeren Sergej Lavrov. Møtet fant sted samtidig som de to stormaktenes forhold er mer anspent enn på lenge.
Vanskelig bakteppe
Cyberkrig. Regionale konflikter. Ambassadørkaos. Det er nøkkelord i isfronten mellom USA og Russland.
Spenningene var krystallklare i juni. Da møttes presidentene Joe Biden og Vladimir Putin. Det var første gang på tre år at landenes øverste ledere tok hverandre i hånden.
I 2018 var det tidligere president Donald Trump og Putin som sto ansikt til ansikt. Sammenkomsten ble stemplet som et «grusomt spetakkel», blant annet av Trumps tidligere rådgiver Fiona Hill.
Møtet i juni gikk langt bedre, men forventningene var også tonet kraftig ned, ifølge den politiske analytikeren Dmitri Trunin.
Målet var først og fremst at de to verdenslederne skulle snakke sammen og gi uttrykk for sine forventninger til hverandre.
Det fikk de gjort. Optimistisk, men anspent. Slik lød dommen i etterkant. Samtidig pekte presidentene på klima som en utfordring det kan være mulig for dem å samarbeide om i fremtiden.
Under mandagens møte tok Kerry og Lavrov den intensjonen et forsiktig steg videre.
Viktigere enn atomvåpen
De startet med å gi uttrykk for hva de synes om verdens klimakrise. Deretter understreket begge hvor viktig de synes det er å gjøre noe med det. De to politikerne har lenge vært sentrale i verdenspolitikken.
Lavrov har vært utenriksminister i 17 år, siden 2004. Kerrys politiske karriere strekker seg tilbake til 70-tallet. I løpet av tiårene har Vietnam-veteranen operert under flere forskjellige titler. Fra 2013 til 2017 var han utenriksminister under tidligere president Barack Obama.
Gjennom årene har Lavrov og Kerry møttes en rekke ganger. De har hatt et bredt spekter av verdensproblemer på agendaen.
De har forhandlet om kjemiske våpen og atomvåpen. Mandagens møte om klima var like kritisk og akutt som de temaene, uttalte Kerry.
Han og Lavrov sa seg enige om at de vil samarbeide fremover for å løse klimautfordringene.
Ingen klar løsning
Russland og USA står begge for en stor andel av verdens klimagassutslipp. USA ligger på annenplass, etter Kina, over landene med mest drivhusgassutslipp. Russland ligger på fjerdeplass.
Så hvordan vil de få dem ned?
Det hadde ikke Lavrov eller Kerry noe svar på under mandagens møte.
Men at Russland i det hele tatt snakker om klima, er et stort steg frem.
Det mener Espen Moe. Han er professor i blant annet internasjonal politikk og energi ved Norges teknisk-naturvitenskapelige universitet (NTNU).
Likevel tar han Lavrovs ord om samarbeid og klimakutt med en stor klype salt.
– Det tror jeg når jeg ser det. Russland har lenge vært en sinke på å nå klimamålene. Så det gjenstår å se hva som faktisk skjer, og hva de eventuelt blir enige om.
Likevel finnes det potensielle lyspunkter.
Klima som springbrett
At de er enige om samarbeid, kan bane vei for diskusjon om andre utfordringer USA og Russland strides om. Lavrov åpnet nemlig for at samarbeid om klima kan starte dialog om andre floker mellom stormaktene. Det støttet Kerry.
At USA og Russland gir signal om å ville diskutere klima til tross for andre bitre strider, er «potensielt ekstremt viktig», ifølge Moe.
Det er fordi:
– Den største klimatrusselen er at vi nå går mot en verden der stormaktene ikke lenger snakker med hverandre, forklarer han.
Klimaløsninger blir i større grad internasjonale. Det er ikke lenger nok at land tar grep innenfor egne grenser.
– Det handler om at fornybar energi knyttes sammen på tvers av landegrenser. Slike samarbeid er forholdsvis lett å gjennomføre i Europa, men mye vanskeligere andre steder.
Veien videre
I november skal FN holde klimatoppmøte i Glasgow, Skottland. Det ventes at over 200 land tar turen for å delta.
Stor spenning er knyttet til møtet nå som USA har signert Parisavtalen på ny. Samtidig hevder flere at klimautfordringene er i ferd med å nå nye høyder.
I juni omtalte nyhetsbyrået AFP deler av en rapport fra The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change. Verden er i ferd med å nå en rekke terskler for klimautslipp, slo den fast. Når de er nådd, er det for sent å snu.
I januar sa Kerry at FNs klimamøtet er verdens «beste, siste sjanse» til å ta et krafttak mot klimautslipp.
– Det er sånne overskrifter som gjør seg i pressen. Men vi har snakket om «siste sjanser» i 15 år allerede, sier Moe.
– Om denne siste sjansen ikke blir tatt, betyr ikke det at det bare er å gi opp. Ingenting av dette er svart eller hvitt.
I mellomtiden har Kerry to dager igjen i Moskva. Besøket varer til og med torsdag. I løpet av de neste dagene ventes det at han skal diskutere klimastrategier videre med flere russiske politikere.
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