Obama Could Set the Middle East Ablaze

Published in El Nuevo Diario
(Nicaragua) on 5 September 2013
by Esteban Solís (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Sean P. Hunter. Edited by Gillian Palmer.
It is possible that by the time these lines are read the missiles will have already started falling on Syria in an interventionist war — with the United States at the forefront, as always — to “punish” Syrian president Bashar Assad for having ordered, according to the invaders’ intelligence reports, the use of chemical weapons against his own people.

The world realizes that the United States has historically justified interventions by inventing excuses. Typical false flag operations — hence the reticence of the British, French and even the American leaders themselves to embark on an armed confrontation. On Monday, Assad warned during an interview with Le Figaro that the Middle East is a powder keg to which a fire is getting closer. He claims that a military intervention will unleash a regional war.

The Syrian president is correct. The borders in that zone are a hotbed. Turkey, Iran, Iraq, Lebanon and Israel are highly explosive. Russia and China also have a lot to say in this complex geopolitical board, where the military industry of the powers of any political or ideological color rub their hands together, anticipating the highest profit without a care that dozens, hundreds or thousands of civilians are destroyed by rockets launched from gigantic warships cruising in the Mediterranean and from the air raids deployed by leaders who believe they have the right to “punish” at their pleasure whoever dares to defy them.

There are other Arab countries, like Saudi Arabia and Qatar, which, according to the foreign press, have financed the war that the Syrian rebels and mercenaries have carried out for the past two years in an attempt to overthrow Assad. In the background, the differences between the Sunnis and the Shiites could have played a role in the theater of operations. The Arab nations that support the war against the Syrian president are of the Sunni majority, or at least their monarchs belong to that branch of Islam. The family of Bashar Assad is Alawite, identified with Shiites.

Up to now, there has been no overwhelming reason to justify aggression against Syria. United States President Barack Obama doesn’t want to pay the consequences of dragging his country into another war alone and therefore has asked for support from Congress to share the costs.

I have no doubt that Obama will give the order to attack. I wish I were wrong. Nevertheless, what will happen not just in Syria but in the entire Middle East after the first attack? Has President Obama weighed the consequences of his decision?

Some who understand the matter say that Congress will make it difficult for the president, due to next year being an election year. Representatives don’t want to lose the chance to be re-elected, taking into account that the majority of Americans do not support the intervention.

“We will defend ourselves; we will surprise the world,” said the Syrian foreign minister a few days ago of an eventual attack against his country. Important world leaders such as Russian President Vladimir Putin have requested “prudence,” and Beijing has said that the Western powers have jumped to conclusions on the use of chemical weapons.

Latin American leaders such as Daniel Ortega of Nicaragua, Nicolás Maduro of Venezuela, Dilma Rousseff of Brazil and Cristina Fernández of Argentina, among others, have publicly rejected an intervention. Along the same lines as Assad, Russian Minister of Foreign Relations Sergey Lavrov recently said that a military intervention would be “catastrophic for the countries of the Middle East and North Africa.” Surely, he speaks of Egypt, Libya and Tunisia.

Will Obama, a Nobel Peace Prize laureate, find the allies he seeks to make war, or will the United States push the button on its own in order to “punish” Assad? Hopefully the American president will reconsider, as well as those who, like French President Francois Hollande, whose popularity — 26 percent — is the lowest of any French dignitary since 1958, are chomping at the bit to accompany the United States into this war. Perhaps Hollande thinks that is the way to drive up those negative ratings he’s received as a result of his disastrous management of the economy.


Es posible que al leer estas líneas hayan empezado a caer los primeros misiles contra Siria en una guerra intervencionista con Estados Unidos a la cabeza, como siempre, para “castigar” al Presidente sirio Bashar Al Assad, por haber ordenado, según los informes de inteligencia de los interventores, el uso de armas químicas contra su propio pueblo.

El mundo se ha percatado que históricamente los Estados Unidos justifica intervenciones militares inventando excusas. Típicas operaciones de bandera falsa. De allí la reticencia de líderes políticos ingleses, franceses y hasta de los mismos estadounidenses por embarcarse en una confrontación bélica. El lunes, Al Assad advirtió, durante una entrevista al periódico Le Fígaro, que Oriente Medio es un barril de pólvora y que el fuego se aproxima. En ella asegura que una intervención militar desatará una guerra regional.

El mandatario sirio tiene razón. Las fronteras en esa zona son un hervidero. Turquía, Irán, Irak, Líbano, Israel, son altamente explosivas. Rusia y China también tienen mucho que decir en este complejo tablero de la geopolítica en donde la industria militar de las potencias de cualquier color político o ideológico, se frotan las manos para sacar el mejor provecho sin importar que mueran decenas, centenares, miles de civiles, destrozados por los cohetes lanzados desde gigantescas naves de guerra desplazadas en el Mediterráneo y de las incursiones aéreas desplegadas por los gobernantes que se creen con el derecho de “castigar” a placer a quienes tienen la osadía de desafiarlos.

Hay otros países árabes como Arabia Saudí y Catar que, según la prensa extranjera, han financiado la guerra que combatientes sirios y mercenarios llevan a cabo desde hace dos años para tratar de derrocar a Al Assad. En un segundo plano podría haber quedado en el teatro de operaciones las diferencias entre suníes y chiíes. Los países árabes que apoyan la rebelión contra el Presidente sirio son de mayoría suní o al menos sus monarcas pertenecen a esa rama del Islam. La familia de Bashar Al Assad es alauí, identificada con el chiísmo.

Hasta ahora no hay una razón poderosa para justificar la agresión contra Siria. El Presidente de EE.UU., Barack Obama, no quiere pagar en solitario las consecuencias de arrastrar a su país a otra guerra y por ello ha pedido el apoyo del congreso para compartir los costos.

Obama, no tengo dudas, dará la orden de atacar. Quisiera estar equivocado. Sin embargo, ¿qué pasará no solamente en Siria, sino en Oriente Medio después del primer ataque? ¿Ya sopesó el Presidente Obama las consecuencias de su decisión?

Algunos entendidos en la materia dicen que los congresistas se la pondrán difícil al Presidente debido a que el próximo año hay elecciones legislativas y no quieren perder la oportunidad de reelegirse tomando en cuenta que la mayoría de la opinión pública estadounidense no avala la intervención.

“Nos vamos a defender, sorprenderemos al mundo”, dijo hace algunos días el titular de exteriores sirio Wallid Maullen ante el eventual ataque contra su país. Importantes líderes mundiales como el Presidente ruso Vladimir Putin, han pedido “prudencia”, y Pekín ha dicho que las potencias occidentales se están precipitando sacando conclusiones sobre el uso de armamento químico.

Gobernantes latinoamericanos como Daniel Ortega de Nicaragua, Nicolás Maduro de Venezuela, Dilma Roussef de Brasil y Cristina Fernández de Argentina, entre otros, han rechazado públicamente una intervención. En la misma línea que Al Assad, el Ministro de Relaciones Exteriores de Rusia, Serguei Lavrov, dijo recientemente que una intervención militar sería “catastrófica para los países de Oriente Próximo y el norte de África”. Seguro habla de Egipto, Libia y Túnez.

¿Encontrará el Presidente del Nobel de la Paz (Obama) los aliados que busca para hacer la guerra, o los Estados Unidos apretarán el botón en solitario para “castigar” a Al Assad? Ojalá recapacite el mandatario estadounidense y aquellos que, como el Presidente de Francia, Francois Hollande, cuya popularidad es la más baja de un dignatario francés desde 1958 con un índice de aprobación del 26%, está que “rasca” por acompañar a los Estados Unidos en esta guerra. Quizás piensa que así remontará esos índices negativos por su gestión económica un tanto desastrosa.
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