The Success of the Climate Summit Depends on the U.S.

Published in Takungpao
(Hong Kong) on 7 December 2009
by Shi Jun Yu (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Amy Przybyla. Edited by Laura Berlinsky-Schine.
A new round of the world-renowned United Nations Climate Change Conference is about to begin in Denmark’s capital, Copenhagen. Unlike previous climate conferences, this meeting has attracted more attention and bears the largest expectations. The debate about this conference kicked off early, but whether a new agreement regarding the Earth’s future will be reached at this conference — with the participation of most government leaders — or continuation of the Kyoto Protocol will be upheld lies in the U.S.'s approach. The conference is once again putting Obama’s abilities to a critical test; the significance of the test’s results matches that of the response to the world’s financial crisis.

The U.S. is the biggest contributor to global warming. The International Energy Agency's survey results indicated that the U.S. is the world leader in carbon dioxide emissions, at approximately 20 tons per capita, accounting for 23.7 percent of the world’s total emissions. But in response to global warming, the U.S. attitude has been ambiguous and the least dynamic.

According to an estimate by the United Nations Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, the mid-term emissions reduction of developed countries should be 25 to 40 percent, in order to avoid reaching a dangerous level of global warming. But even the European Union, the self-proclaimed “standard-bearer” in response to climate change, is still far from reaching a 20 percent emissions reduction. The Obama administration’s “responsible” announcement revealing the U.S.'s long-awaited goal was no better: to reduce emissions 17 percent below 2005 levels by 2020, which is only a 4 percent reduction of 1990 levels. This goal not only falls very short of the European Union goal, but does not even compare to the Kyoto Protocol’s initial pledge of a 7 percent reduction, being only three percentage points lower than originally stipulated.

In regard to the issue of emissions reduction, America’s attitude has continued to be passive. The U.S. remains the only developed country not associated with the Kyoto Protocol, an agreement that will expire in 2012. Despite minor adjustments after Obama took office, there has not been a significant change in the nature of the U.S.’s position.

Since the U.S. is the country most responsible for global warming, its approach to climate change has a large effect on the outcome of the current conference. If the U.S. does whatever it pleases, other countries may in turn choose to ignore the limits of international rules as well. Japan, Australia, Canada and New Zealand, among other nations under the umbrella of U.S. protection, all proposed to add additional conditions to their respective reduction goals. These conditions violate the climate change negotiations following the “joint but differentiated” principle, which insists that some developing countries participate in the reduction of emissions.

According to the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, as well as the Kyoto Protocol, there are certain “common but differentiated responsibilities," that should not initially be undertaken by developing countries. But to deal with the problem of climate change, some developing countries recently declared that independent action must be taken. China, India, Brazil, and others have announced encouraging goals to reduce emissions, showing a proactive attitude in assuming responsibility regarding the Earth’s future, resulting in praise from the international community.

The fact that the planet urgently needs to “reduce its fever” has already reached a consensus. In order to rouse the attention of the leaders of big countries, the Maldives held an underwater meeting with cabinet members and Nepal held a cabinet meeting on Mount Everest at an elevation of more than 5,000 meters. The Copenhagen conference is not merely a simple gathering of leaders, but a meeting to secure mankind’s future. In order to maintain his “star” effect and the U.S.'s insistence of its status as the “great nation”, Obama and the U.S. must truly have courage and dare to assume responsibility for climate change. If the world had more fairness and justice, there would be more harmony among mankind.


氣候峰會能否成功 關鍵還看美國/ 施君玉
2009-12-7

舉世矚目的新一輪聯合國氣候變化大會即將在丹麥首都哥本哈根拉開帷幕,與以往歷次氣候會議不同的是,這次大會吸引了最多的關注,承載了最大的期望。圍繞此次大會的博弈很早就拉開帷幕,但這次有最多政府首腦參加的會議能否就地球的未來達成一份新協議,要不要繼續堅持《京都議定書》,關鍵還在於美國的態度。這次大會是對奧巴馬能力的又一次嚴峻考驗,其意義決不亞於全球對金融危機的應對。

全球變暖,美國的「貢獻」最大。國際能源機構的一項調查結果表明,美國二氧化碳排放量居世界首位,年人均二氧化碳排放量約二十噸,排放的二氧化碳佔全球總量的百分之二十三點七。但在應對全球變暖中,美國卻態度曖昧,力度最小。

根據聯合國政府間氣候變化專門委員會的估算,發達國家的中期減排目標應該達到百分之二十五至百分之四十,才能避免全球變暖至危險水平。但就連自詡為應對氣候變化「旗手」的歐盟的減排百分之二十目標距此也相去甚遠。而美國目標千呼萬喚始出來,奧巴馬政府「負責任」地宣布,到二○二年在二○○五年基礎上減排百分之十七,但這僅僅相當在一九九○年基礎上減排百分之四,不僅比歐盟目標差得很遠,甚至比《京都議定書》給它規定的第一承諾期百分之七的目標還低三個百分點。

在減排問題上,美國一直態度消極,《京都議定書》第一承諾期二○一二年即將到期,但美國迄今仍未批准這一協議,成為游離於議定書之外的唯一發達國家。奧巴馬上台後,態度雖然有了些許調整,但立場並未有本質變化。

美國的態度有示範效應,既然全球暖化第一大責任國可以為所欲為,那麼其他國家同樣可以不受國際規則的約束。日本、澳洲、加拿大、新西蘭等國家,都在美國這面「大傘」的保護下,附條件地提出了各自的減排目標。這個條件便是違反氣候變化談判所遵循的「共同但有區別的責任」原則,堅持要求一些發展中國家參與強制減排。

按照《聯合國氣候變化框架公約》及其《京都議定書》確定的「共同但有區別的責任」原則,發展中國家本不該承擔這種義務。但為了應對氣候變化,一些發展中國家近來紛紛宣布要採取自主行動,中國、印度、巴西等國紛紛公布了自己令人鼓舞的減排目標,展現了對地球未來高度負責的積極態度,得到了國際社會的普遍讚賞。

地球亟需「退燒」,這已是人類的共識。為了引起大國領導人的關注,馬爾代夫舉行海底內閣會議,尼泊爾也把內閣會議搬到海拔五千多米的珠峰。對人類未來面言,哥本哈根大會決不只是一次簡單的領袖聚會。奧巴馬的「明星」效應解決不了全球變暖問題,美既然標榜是「負責任的大國」,那就要真正拿出勇氣,敢於承擔責任。世界多一點公平正義,人類就會多一份和諧。
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