Biden’s Missteps

Published in La Nación
(Chile) on 24 March 2021
by Samuel Fernández Illanes (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Kaitlyn Diehl. Edited by Olivia Parker.
Joe Biden has had missteps, both literally and figuratively. The first was on the stairs of Air Force One. It was a simple accident, but the omnipresent media made note of it, which inspired all types of speculation. Other missteps in his foreign policy, like those with Russia and China, were a surprise. They attracted attention because there had been hope that the U.S. would reunite with the world — as Biden had asserted — with a more compliant and less aggressive administration.

In line with his relentless quest to differentiate himself from Donald Trump — whom he so often criticizes — Biden has been erasing Trump’s decisions and orders, reversing his main foreign policy agenda and rejoining the accords that his predecessor formerly denounced. This includes immigration, where everything is still jumbled and inconclusive.

Perhaps Biden has been conditioned to make Trump omnipresent — always named, referenced and contrasted against his own decisions at the risk of keeping Trump visible and present. The former president revels in any opportunity before his supporters: reaffirming electoral fraud, supporting the Republicans in the next congressional midterm election, or insinuating that he will run again in the next presidential election. Unintentionally, Biden has been contradicting his own actions.

Biden has been bold with Russia. To call Putin — of all people — a “killer” or “soulless,” one must be courageous or reckless. Biden isn’t a novice in foreign affairs, and he knows very well that Russia will respond coldly at the appropriate time; there are consequences for challenging an autocrat whose power is increasing daily. His ambassador has already resigned. It hasn’t gone better with China either. In the first direct, face to face conversations, China was not reprimanded, nor was it confronted with impunity — something that is becoming more important with each passing day. China must be made aware, even if by force.

Everything has happened within the 100-day grace period each administration is entitled to. Results are uncertain, and the likelihood that Russia and China will adjust their policies is continuing to diminish. So far, Biden hasn’t found strong support from other powers either. China and Russia’s diverse network of interests requires them to act with great prudence. Right now, they seem to be stumbling more than succeeding. Only time will tell.


Los tropezones de Biden

Los ha tenido reales e internacionales. El primero, en las escalerillas del avión presidencial. Un simple accidente, aunque la omnipresencia mediática lo registró y motivó todo tipo de especulaciones. Los otros en su política exterior, sorpresivos, nada menos que con Rusia y China. Llaman la atención, pues se esperaba que su administración fuera más contemporizadora, no agresiva, con Estados Unidos de vuelta al mundo, como afirmó.

En línea con su búsqueda incesante por diferenciarse de Trump, a quien tanto critica, borrando sus decisiones a punta de decretos, revirtiendo sus principales ejes exteriores, y volviendo a participar en los acuerdos que su antecesor denunció. Incluso en migraciones, donde todo sigue confuso sin resultados.

Tal vez lo ha condicionado la presencia incorpórea de Trump, siempre nombrado, aludido o contrastado en las decisiones de Biden, a riesgo de mantenerlo visible y presente. El exmandatario aprovecha cada oportunidad ante sus partidarios, reiterando el fraude electoral, apoyando los republicanos en la próxima elección parlamentaria parcial, o insinuando que volverá a competir en la presidencial. Sin proponérselo, Biden contrasta sus propias acciones.

Con Rusia ha sido osado. Calificar de “asesino” o “sin alma”, nada menos que a Putin, se requiere ser valiente o temerario. No es un novato en política exterior, y bien sabe que el ruso responderá fríamente en el momento oportuno. Desafiar a un autócrata que cada día aumenta su poder, tiene consecuencias. Ya retiró su embajador. Con China no le ha ido mejor, y en las primeras conversaciones directas, se han confrontado. No se reprende y enrostra a China impunemente, cada día más importante y que toma conciencia de ello, así sea por la fuerza. Han sido acciones que deberían estar respaldadas por alguna estrategia.

Todo ha ocurrido antes de los cien días de gracia de toda administración, con resultados inciertos, y menos probabilidades que Rusia y China modifiquen su política. Tampoco ha obtenido, hasta ahora, apoyos evidentes de otras potencias. La variada red de intereses que mantienen con Rusia y China, los obliga a actuar con gran prudencia. Por ahora, parecen más tropezones que logros. Sólo el tiempo lo dirá.
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