US-Israel War Ignites Middle East Crisis That Is Difficult To End

Published in Takungpao
(Hong Kong) on 1 March 2026
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Hannah La Porte. Edited by Laurence Bouvard.
On the night of Feb. 28, Israel announced that it had launched strikes against Iran. The United States quickly confirmed that it had participated in the joint military operation. Multiple core targets were hit by missiles, including areas in central Tehran and locations near the office of the Iranian supreme leader. Yet just one day before the attack, Oman's foreign minister had revealed that negotiations over Iran's nuclear issue had made major breakthroughs. Iran had reportedly agreed to "zero accumulation and zero stockpile" of nuclear materials and to accept comprehensive inspections, bringing a peace agreement seemingly within reach. At the very moment when diplomatic hope had begun to emerge, the United States and Israel launched a war, fully exposing their power-politics mentality and pushing the entire Middle East toward the abyss of a broader conflict.

This military operation was by no means a sudden decision, but rather a carefully planned strategic gamble. Over the past month, the United States had assembled the largest concentration of military forces in the Middle East since the 2003 Iraq War. Various signs suggested that negotiations were never the real objective of the United States and Israel; instead, they served merely as a cover for military preparations and a way to lull the international community into complacency. After repeated calculations, the U.S. concluded that the timing for a strike was ripe, while Israel has long regarded Iran as a major strategic threat and was eager to eliminate this rival through force once and for all. The claim that "Iran must not obtain nuclear weapons" is only a pretext for launching war; the real aim is to weaken or even overthrow the Iranian regime and consolidate U.S.-Israeli dominance in the Middle East.

Launching a preemptive strike against the core institutions of another country's capital is considered an act of military bullying, one that destroys hard-won diplomatic progress and further destabilizes an already volatile Middle East. Once conflict is ignited, it becomes difficult for any single party to control its course. Both sides now appear locked into a cycle of escalating confrontation. Iran subsequently carried out retaliatory strikes against multiple U.S. military bases in the region as well as Israel-related targets. The current situation is highly unpredictable: It remains unclear whether the conflict will remain a limited exchange or escalate into full-scale war, whether it will be short-lived or develop into prolonged turmoil. Given the dense web of regional forces in the Middle East, a war between the United States, Israel and Iran could easily ignite a regional powder keg and trigger a chain reaction of conflicts spreading outward.

Wars are easy to start but difficult to end, and military force has never been the proper path to resolving disputes. History has already shown that aircraft carriers and missiles cannot bring lasting security and that overthrowing governments cannot produce regional stability. The military adventure of the United States and Israel will ultimately leave innocent civilians to bear the suffering of war while global energy markets, economic stability, and international security face severe shocks.

Dialogue and negotiation are the only real path to resolving differences. Power politics and unilateral military force can only create deeper crises. Iran's military capabilities cannot be compared to those of smaller states, and the idea of a "quick victory" is merely wishful thinking. What Donald Trump described as a "major military operation," along with the "decapitation strike" reportedly attempted last night and later confirmed to have failed, is further proof that wars of aggression are unlikely to achieve their intended goals. Instead, they may once again drag the United States into the quagmire of the Middle East and accelerate the decline of its global dominance.


2月28日晚,以色列宣布對伊朗發動襲擊,美國隨即證實參與聯合軍事行動,德黑蘭市中心、最高領袖辦公室附近等多處核心目標遭導彈打擊。就在襲擊前一日,阿曼外交大臣剛剛披露,伊朗核問題談判已取得重大突破,伊朗同意核材料「零積累、零庫存」並接受全面核查,和平協議一度「觸手可及」。在外交曙光初現之際,美以卻悍然發動戰爭,徹底暴露其強權本質,將整個中東推向全面衝突的深淵。

此次軍事行動絕非臨時決策,而是精心策劃的戰略冒險。過去一個多月,美國向中東集結自2003年伊拉克戰爭以來最大規模軍事力量。種種跡象表明,談判從一開始就不是美以的真實目標,只不過是掩蓋軍事準備、麻痹國際社會的幌子。美國在反覆推演後認定打擊時機成熟,以色列則始終視伊朗為心腹大患,急於以武力「一勞永逸」消除戰略對手。所謂「伊朗不能擁有核武器」,只不過是發動戰爭的藉口;真正目的,是削弱乃至顛覆伊朗政權,鞏固美以在中東的霸權地位。

對一國首都核心機構發動先發制人打擊,本質是恃強凌弱的軍事霸凌,不僅摧毀了來之不易的談判成果,更讓本就動盪的中東雪上加霜。衝突一旦點燃,便難以由單方掌控。雙方進入對抗惡性循環已成定局。伊朗隨後發動反擊,打擊美軍位於中東的多個軍事基地以及以色列相關目標,當前局勢充滿不可預測性,是有限打擊還是全面戰爭,是短期衝突還是長期混戰,暫難定論。中東地區多方勢力盤根錯節,美以對伊開戰,極可能點燃地區火藥桶,引發連鎖式衝突外溢。

開打容易收場難,軍事手段從來不是解決爭端的正道。歷史早已證明,依靠航母導彈無法帶來持久安全,靠顛覆政權無法實現地區穩定。美以的軍事冒險,最終只會讓無辜民眾承受戰火苦難,讓全球能源、經濟與安全秩序承受劇烈衝擊。

對話談判才是化解分歧的唯一出路,強權政治與單邊武力只會製造更大危機,伊朗軍事實力非其他小國可以比擬,所謂「速戰速決」不過是一廂情願。特朗普口中的「重大軍事行動」,以及昨晚被證實已失敗的「斬首行動」,再次說明侵略戰爭不僅難達目的,更可能再次將美國拖入中東漩渦,加速其霸權衰敗的速度。
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