China Must Raise Its Military Strength Fast — America Is Pushing

Published in Global Times
(China) on 6 January 2011
by Han Xudong (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Qu Xiao. Edited by Heidi Kaufmann.
Recently, America has been busy making a new deployment around the Western Pacific to form a deterrent line — consisting of Hawaii, Guam and Okinawa, with aircraft carriers around the islands — showing off its military strength around the Korean Peninsula. America’s new deployment has changed the previous military situations in the Western Pacific, bringing significant impact to the military overview in East Asia and posing a serious threat to China, in particular.

The Chinese navy now is facing immense danger on its outer seaway. America is planning to deploy three battle groups of aircraft carriers in the Western Pacific. If such a deployment becomes permanent, not only would it generate a great threat to East China, but also, more seriously, all the activities conducted by the Chinese navy in the Western Pacific would be under America’s close surveillance, falling entirely into America’s hands.
  
At the same time, the military pressure on Northeast China would also be greatly increased. With America backing it up, South Korea would press North Korea harder. Against such a backdrop, North Korea — always making its military a priority — will not possibly ignore the provocations from its southern neighbor. The turmoil in the Korean Peninsula won’t be settled in the near future. And, of course, with the messy situation in the Northeast, China must make some effort with its military regarding preventative deployments around its Northeast region.

America will probably do its best to support Japan and South Korea to increase their military capabilities. America’s strategic aim is to maintain its global hegemony and make the most of its allies to serve its own interests. Because increasing their military capabilities is the common aspiration for Japan and South Korea, it may be possible that both countries would achieve a great leap forward in terms of military strength with the efforts from within and help from without. And the rise in the military power of Japan and South Korea would increase the military fever around Southeast Asia, of which a major manifestation is the bulk importation of advanced weapons and military equipment in order to reach a higher military capability.

It’s becoming ever more obvious that America is shifting its military focus eastward. America has been treating Europe as the center of its global military deployment. With the security situation in Europe stable, America is speeding up the readjustment of its military focus. Recently, three aircraft carriers were sent to the Western Pacific. What’s more, all the military activities last year in the Asia-Pacific region, such as military drills, have already proven that America is shifting its global strategic military focus to the Asia-Pacific region.

America has really raised a big fuss in the Western Pacific with its new military activities, and most of its influence has been targeted directly at China. Facing America’s military boom in the Western Pacific, how would China maintain the peace and stability in the region? And how would China keep the military powers in the region balanced and checked? In fact, it’s impossible for China to carry out an all-around arms race with America, like the USSR. Instead, in the face of America’s military threat, the only thing China could do is to lift its strategic deterrent force by raising its core fighting capability to keep a balanced Western Pacific. And the increase of the core fighting capability, of course, aims at the strengthening of the military as a whole. Without a military leap forward, China couldn’t get rid of the pressure coming from America. So it is objectively necessary, as well as a result of the foreign pressure, for China to seek a military leap forward. Then, how could China achieve that? I think the key is the breakthrough in military technologies. It is predictable that China would increase its efforts regarding military technologies in order to gain some major breakthroughs. On one hand, such breakthroughs can help the Western Pacific regain its military balance; on the other hand, because China insists on developing its military and civil industries at the same time, a breakthrough in the military sector may also help in the development of technologies for civil use.

The military balance in the Western Pacific has been broken, and America has caused all the trouble. As long as America stops making a mess out of the region, it is highly likely that the military fever will cool down soon.


美国近来在朝鲜半岛周边大肆炫耀武力,同时向西太平洋地区调兵遣将,进行新的一轮排兵布阵,形成了以夏威夷、关岛和冲绳三个基地群为“战略岛”、以航母战斗群为“游子儿”的新的兵力威慑阵势。美国这种新的兵力部署改变了以往西太平洋地区军事力量格局,将对东亚地区的军事态势形成大冲击,尤其是对中国造成了严重的威胁。


  中国海军出海通道受到极大威胁。美国正计划将三个航母战斗群部署于西太平洋地区。如果这种部署常态化,这除了对中国东部地区造成巨大威胁之外,更为严重的是中国海军在西太平洋地区的一切活动将受到严密监视,完全在美国的掌控之中。


  与此同时,中国东北地区受到的军力压力将明显增大。以美国军力为后盾,韩国军力对朝鲜形成了巨大的军事压力。在此背景下,以军事为先的朝鲜不可能不反应。朝鲜半岛的军事动荡局势不可能在短期内稳定。这使中国不能不在军事上“花些力气”在其东北地区做出预防性部署。


  美国极可能大力支持其日本和韩国这两个伙伴提升军力。美国的战略目标是维护世界霸权,其将尽可能发挥伙伴的力量为其卖命。日本和韩国军力提升也是这两国日前在军事上的一种意愿。所以,日本和韩国军力在内外动力的推动下很可能出现跃升。日韩军力的提升也很可能促使东南亚地区军力出现新一轮提升热,其重要表现就是大量进口先进武器装备来提高军力。


  美国全球军事战略重心东移的思路日益清晰。一个多世纪以来,美国一直将欧洲作为其全球军事部署的重心。随着欧洲安全形势的稳定,美国将加紧军事重心的调整。最近,美国将三个航母战斗群调往西太平洋。加之,去年美国以军事演习等形式在亚太地区的用兵表现,都表明美国正将其全球军事战略重心转往亚太地区。


  美国在西太平洋地区如此大的军事动作对中国的军事影响将是最为直接的。面对美国在西太平洋地区兴兵之势,如何维护该地区的和平与稳定?如何使西太平洋地区的军事力量格局不出现嬗变?实际上,中国不可能像苏联那样与美国进行全面军事竞争。面对美国的军事威胁,中国只能通过提升核心战斗力的办法来提高战略威慑能力,以保持西太平洋的军事战略平衡。当然,这种核心战斗力是以促进整个军力的提升为目的的。面对美国的军事压力,中国没有一个军力的跃升是破解不了这种压力谜局的。中国军力的跃升是一种客观需要,也是外力使然。那么,中国军力的跃升出路在哪里呢?笔者认为,出路在于军事技术上的突破,走一条“不对称”发展之路。可以预计,中国将加大军事技术的投入,以在军事技术上有所突破。一方面,这种军事技术突破可以破解西太平洋地区的军力不平衡之危局;另一方面,在中国坚持军民融合发展过程中,这种军事技术突破可以促进民用技术的发展。


  西太平洋的军事不平衡是美国引起的。只要美国不再导演西太平洋的军事动荡,西太平洋地区新一轮军力提升热存在着降温的机会。
This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

Hot this week

Taiwan: Making America Great Again and Taiwan’s Crucial Choice

Venezuela: Vietnam: An Outlet for China

Switzerland: Donald Trump: 100 Days Already, but How Many Years?

     

Mexico: EU: Concern for the Press

Mexico: The Trump Problem

Topics

Mexico: EU: Concern for the Press

Austria: Musk, the Man of Scorched Earth

Germany: Cynicism, Incompetence and Megalomania

Switzerland: Donald Trump: 100 Days Already, but How Many Years?

     

Austria: Donald Trump Revives the Liberals in Canada

Germany: Absolute Arbitrariness

Israel: Trump’s National Security Adviser Forgot To Leave Personal Agenda at Home and Fell

Mexico: The Trump Problem

Related Articles

Mexico: The Trump Problem

Taiwan: Making America Great Again and Taiwan’s Crucial Choice

Venezuela: Vietnam: An Outlet for China

Germany: US Companies in Tariff Crisis: Planning Impossible, Price Increases Necessary

Hong Kong: Can US Tariffs Targeting Hong Kong’s ‘Very Survival’ Really Choke the Life out of It?