Afghanistan Peace Talks Stall: Taliban Withdraw to Gain Ground

Published in Huanqiu
(China) on 12 July 2013
by Editorial (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Nathan Hsu. Edited by Kathleen Weinberger.
Current plans stipulate that the U.S.-led NATO forces will pull out at the end of 2014, and Washington is quietly making preparations for the withdrawal. Apart from shifting the burden of defense entirely onto the shoulders of the Afghan military and police, the U.S. is attempting to engage in peace talks with the Taliban and incorporate them into the political framework of Afghanistan, paving the way for stable and enduring governance in the country.

The Afghanistan War has been fought for 12 years and the Taliban grows stronger even as they are attacked. They have consistently maintained a firm hold over the southern reaches and launch surprise attacks at will throughout the country, even penetrating the heavily fortified Green Zone in the capital, Kabul, as if it were no man's land. If some reconciliation cannot be reached with the Taliban, all of Afghanistan will likely again fall swiftly back into the hands of the radical Islamic organization upon the withdrawal of NATO troops.

From Ruling Government to Outsider

For the Taliban, patience is victory. If they simply wait one year more, Afghanistan will once again be theirs. The Afghan police and military are over 300,000 strong, but despite their strength in numbers, the Taliban clearly holds little respect for them. This is not only because the army lacks training and equipment, but is also due to the fact that security forces have been infiltrated by no small number of Taliban adherents. Surprise attacks have already become one of the primary causes of casualties among NATO soldiers. However, with that said, the Taliban have much to gain and nothing to lose from peace talks. They can take a legal and rightful share in power and perhaps even hold a dominant position within Afghan politics, so what reason do they have not to participate? Quite obviously, the Taliban see peace talks as wiping the slate clean, but seek to utilize this to "legalize" themselves, opening an office for peace talks in Qatar's capital of Doha. The Taliban's eagerness to reclaim the title and unfurl the flag of their time in power reflects precisely their intent to make a triumphant return to power.

Washington has negotiated directly with the Taliban, seemingly shouldering the Afghan government aside, and President Karzai is extremely displeased. The reinstatement of the Taliban gives him large reason to boycott the peace talks, and U.S. President Obama must take the sentiments of the United States' primary non-NATO allies into consideration. After being pressed to abandon their old state name and flag, the Taliban also temporarily closed their Qatar office, indicating that the move was made in protest at broken promises on the part of the U.S. and Afghan governments.

The Taliban have signaled that they are content to call off the peace talks, and Obama is growing anxious. If the Taliban are not accounted for, how can the troops be withdrawn? Obama has turned to put pressure on Karzai, warning that no troops will be stationed in Afghanistan after 2014. As the two lock horns, we will see who is the first to yield.


  阿富汗塔利班设于海湾国家卡塔尔的办事处,开张仅三个星期,便关门大吉,意味着和谈的展开,遥遥无期,显然,这对塔利班来说,不是甚么打击,倒是美国和阿富汗的政府,更为烦恼。

  按照计划,以美军为首的北约部队,将在2014年底撤走,华府密锣紧鼓为撤军做准备,除把防务完全移交阿富汗军警外,更准备与塔利班举行和谈,将其纳入政治架构,为阿富汗长治久安铺路。

  阿富汗战争一打十二年,被打的塔利班,愈来愈强,在一直牢牢控制南部之余,亦在全国各地随意发动袭击,连戒备森严的首都喀布尔绿区,也如入无人之境。如果不与塔利班和解,一旦北约部队撤走,整个阿富汗恐怕很快重陷这个回教激进组织之手。

  在朝政府反变局外人

  对塔利班来说,耐心就是胜利,只要再等一年多,阿富汗又是自己的世界了。阿富汗军警虽有三十多万人,数目庞大,但显然塔利班并不放在眼里,这不但因为这支部队欠缺训练和装备,更由于当中有不少塔利班渗透保安部队,发动袭击,已成为现时北约士兵伤亡主因之一。不过话说回来,和谈对塔利班百利而无一害,可以名正言顺分享权力甚至主导政局,何乐而不为?很明显,塔利班视和谈为漂白,欲借此把自己合法化,设在卡塔尔首都多哈、用作和谈的办事处开张,塔利班迫不及待挂上统治阿富汗时的国号和旗帜,正好反映这个用心,便是堂而皇之回朝。

  华府与塔利班直接谈判,阿富汗政府似变局外人,总统卡扎伊本就老大不高兴,塔利班复辟,给他杯葛和谈的大好理由,美国总统奥巴马总要顾及非北约主要盟友的感受,塔利班被迫除下旧国号旧旗帜,也索性暂时关闭办事处,说是抗议美阿政府不守诺言。

  塔利班摆明不和谈便拉倒,现在着急的是奥巴马,不搞掂塔利班,如何撤军?奥巴马转而向卡扎伊施压,威胁在2014年后美国零驻军,两人斗抛浪头,就看谁先服软。
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