What Caused the Bankruptcy Disaster for America’s Motor City?

Published in View China
(China) on 22 July 2013
by Feng Chuangzhi (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Mollie Gossage. Edited by Philip Lawler.
Abstract: Through over 30 years' experience of reform, people more frequently recognize the enlightening significance of former leader Chen Yun’s saying in relation to fiscal investment issues, “First, feed the people; second, build the country.” The “feeders” need to protect the people’s welfare; only upon this foundation may public works be constructed. They absolutely must not exceed their means.

Detroit, America’s Motor City, applied for bankruptcy protection on July 18, becoming America’s largest-scale municipal bankruptcy case, as well as sensational world news (see China News for July 19, 2013). How could this world-famous Motor City go bankrupt, and what are the principal reasons for bankruptcy?

The media has attributed blame for Detroit’s bankruptcy to a sharp decline in population, from what once numbered over 2 million to a current population of 700,000. Large numbers of the middle class have left the city, making the suburban districts a desolate wasteland. There are also analysts blaming it on the “financial crisis,” while others point to Detroit’s racism and severe ethnic conflict: Whether the early discrimination of whites against blacks or subsequent harsh resistance from the blacks, it has become a source of turmoil for Detroit.

Of course, many also place responsibility on consistently huge expenditures for municipal projects. The enormity of Detroit’s administrative projects has gained fame within America. Records show that just within the term of Mayor Coleman Young, a whole series of projects were seen to completion including the Renaissance Center, the “People Mover” monorail system, commercial centers (150 West Jefferson, One Detroit Center), large apartment buildings (Millender Center Apartments, Riverfront Condominiums, Harbortown), factories (the General Motors Detroit/Hamtramck Assembly Plant, the Chrysler Jefferson North Assembly Plant), the Detroit Receiving Hospital, the Joe Louis Arena and more. In 1987, to win back the Red Wings Hockey team, Detroit spent $57 million to construct the Joe Louis Arena, leasing it to the team at a discounted rate.

Detroit officials once dreamed that they could promote local prosperity by financing a series of construction projects. However, because of the influence of ethnic conflict and crime, stylish buildings are not enough to stop middle class people from “rolling up their quilts and leaving” one by one. It has been calculated that from 2000 to 2010 alone the population of Detroit decreased by 25 percent. The enormously costly government-funded municipal projects have thereby all become empty buildings; Detroit has no choice but to continue to reduce prices for rent or sale at auction. Each political party, after coming into power, borrows and spends like crazy, whereas repayment is a matter for those next to serve in office. Modern financial markets develop day by day, and debt financing is very convenient, to the extent that many administrations go excessively into debt. There is no debt that is completely free; the costs of borrowing must be paid eventually. Meanwhile, since the city has accumulated a mountain of debt for construction projects — a long-term debt of $18 billion plus billions of dollars in short-term debts — Detroit’s finances are totally unable to operate. General international stipulations are that budget deficit cannot exceed 3 percent of revenue, while government debt cannot exceed 60 percent of gross domestic product. Once this proportion is exceeded, the government loses the capability to service its debt. Confronted with the danger of bankruptcy, voluntary bankruptcy became Detroit’s only option.

Detroit’s bankruptcy unnerves the Chinese people because somewhere there is a similar lesson to be learned. In recent years, some locales have surpassed their capabilities for municipal projects. Becoming “fashionable” and keeping up with others has also become more and more critical. Earlier this year, the media revealed that many provincial officials in succession had paid visits to the National Development and Reform Committee and the Ministry of Land and Resources, requesting subways, high-speed rail and other such large-scale projects and land-use indicators. Some places are constantly setting up all kinds of tourism projects. It is not difficult to see, as long as there is a local celebrity, even a Xi Shi or Li Hongzhang, some people will inevitably organize some scholar to hype it up and establish a tourism project, spending a huge fortune on construction. As for golf courses nationwide, they are likely to retain a high priority in the long-term. The 2009 “Toward the White Paper - China Golf Industry Report” revealed that China currently had 348 operating golf facilities and 7,772 holes (equivalent to approximately 432 standard 18-hole courses) distributed across 29 provinces, autonomous regions and municipalities. (Tibet Autonomous Region and Qinghai Province have still not opened golf facilities.) But city real estate has really become a heavy financial priority in real estate development for local officials. And now, rumor has it that some local seats are moving forward with a new round of urbanization, currently working hard to expand the midsized town of Hexian into a city.

Through over 30 years’ experience of reform and opening, people more and more recognize the enlightening significance of former leader Chen Yun’s saying in relation to fiscal investment issues: “First, feed the people; second, build the country.” The “feeders” need to protect the people’s welfare; only upon this foundation may public works be constructed. They absolutely must not exceed their means. The saying “working within one’s means” dictates that everything must begin out of practicality; construction projects must be designed on a solid and reliable foundation. How much money is spent must simply equate to how many projects are managed, and one must not constantly surpass one’s own powers of investment for impractical and overreaching consumption. Experience proves, surpassing financial investments seldom creates “garbage projects,” just “problem projects.” Going beyond the bounds of local government finances or family financial consumption can gradually lead to a kind of competitive consumption. I see that after the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party, China’s top-level economic policies have been put in place, putting the stable development of people’s welfare first, thereby ensuring the stability of society. Detroit’s bankruptcy, for Chinese people everywhere, provides a reference for construction within one’s means.


美国“汽车之城”破产是什么惹的祸?

摘要: 对于财政投资问题,历经30多年的改革开放实践,人们越来越深切认识到,老一辈领导人陈云那句“一要吃饭二要建设”的启迪意义。“吃饭”者也就是要保障民生,在此基础上才能谋划公共建设,决不可超力而行。

美国“汽车之城”底特律于7月18日申请破产保护,成为美国最大规模城市破产案,也成为世界轰动性新闻(见中新网2013年7月19日)。人们关注的是,这个世界著名的“汽车之城”为何会走向破产?而破产的主要原因又是什么?

有媒体把底特律破产之因归咎于人口急剧下降,由原来的200多万人下降到时下的70万人。大量的中产阶级人士离开该城市,使市郊区域荒芜破败;也有分析人士归咎“金融危机”的影响;还有评论剑指底特律的种族歧视和种族冲突严重。无论是早年的白人歧视黑人,还是后来的黑人强硬反抗,成为底特律动荡之源。

当然,也有诸多人士唯市政项目支出一直庞大是问。底特律的施政项目之庞大,在美国也是出了名的。资料显示,仅在科尔曼扬市长任期内,人们就看到一系列项目的完成,包括:文艺复兴中心、“人民运载”捷运、商务中心(西杰斐逊大街150号、底特律第一中心)、大型公寓(米兰德中心公寓、河边产权公寓、港口镇公寓)、工厂(通用底特律/哈姆特拉米克装配厂、克莱斯勒杰弗逊北美装配厂)、底特律接收医院、乔路易体育馆等等。而在1987年,为着挽回红翼棍球队的离开,底特律市耗资5700万美元建造乔路易球馆,以折扣的价格租赁给球队。底特律的官员曾梦想通过财政建造一系列的建设,可以推动当地的繁荣。然而,漂亮的建设终归留不住因种族冲突和犯罪影响而导致底特律纷纷“卷铺走人”的中产阶级。有人计算过,仅2000年至2010年间,底特律的人口锐减了25%。这样,政府财政巨大耗支的市政项目,统统变成了“空楼”,底特律市只好一再压低价格出租或拍卖。每个政党上台后都拼命地借债、花钱,而还钱则是下任官员的事情。现代金融市场日益发达,债务融资相当便利,以至于很多政府都过度负债。任何债务都不是免费的午餐,借债就要付出成本。同时由于市政借债建设累积成山,导致形成了180亿美元的长期债务和数十亿美元的短期债务,使底特律市财政无法运转,国际上一般规定,“财政赤字不能超出财政收入的3%,而政府负债不能超出GDP 的60%”。一旦超出这个比例,政府就失去了还本付息的能力,有面临破产的危险,底特律申请破产就成了唯一选择。

底特律破产,之所以牵动着中国的人们的神经,因为个中某些地方也有类似的教训。近些年来,一些地方超力上市政项目,成了“时髦”,攀比之风也越来越严重。今年初,媒体曾曝光,不少省市官员相继拜访国家发改委和国土资源部,求地铁、高铁等大型项目及用地指标。一些地方动不动搞名目繁多的旅游项目。人们都不难看到,只要当地有个名人,那怕是“西施”或“李鸿章”,一些人们总会组织一些文人墨客进行炒作,并编制旅游项目,化上十亿百亿大手笔进行建设。至于全国的高尔夫球场长期高居不下。2009年度《朝向白皮书——中国高尔夫行业报告》发布,2009年我国营业中的高尔夫设施共有348家,共7772个球洞,折合约432个18洞标准球场,分布在国内29个省、自治区、直辖市(西藏、青海尚未有开业的高尔夫设施。城市的房地产更成了地方官员发展房地产财政的重中之重。而今,又传出的信息是,一些地方席着新一轮的城镇化运动,正在作扩大中等城市和县改市的努力。这一切都表明,财政投资已成了不可遏止态势。这样,财政泡沫引发的财政危机在所难免。因此,吸取底特律破产的教训,需要反思“财政泡沫”,并强化对财政支出的监督。

对于财政投资问题,历经30多年的改革开放实践,人们越来越深切认识到,老一辈领导人陈云那句“一要吃饭二要建设”的启迪意义。“吃饭”者也就是要保障民生,在此基础上才能谋划公共建设,决不可超力而行。谓之量力而行,说到底是一切从实际出发,把建设项目建设在扎实可靠的基础上。花多少钱就办多少事,而不要动不动超力投资,不切实际的超前消费。实践证明,超过财力的投资往往不是出现“垃圾工程”就是“问题工程”。超过地方政府财力、超过家庭财力的消费可能会酿成一种消费攀比。笔者看到,中共十八大后,中国高层在出台的经济政策中,把稳定民生发展民生放在首位,从而确保了社会的稳定。底特律的破产,向中国各地的人们提供了量力建设的借鉴。
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