Without a Strategy?

Published in Excelsior
(Mexico) on 1 September 2014
by Ana Paula Ordorica (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Courtney Cadenhead. Edited by Emily France.
The world is complicated. Crisis, crisis, crisis everywhere, caused by political, ideological, religious, economic and inheritance issues — and the list goes on. In each crisis, the world turns to the United States to see what the great power will do to resolve it.

In this context and in the face of the Islamic State inciting radical extremism along the Syrian border in eastern Iraq, Barack Obama gave a press conference at the end of last week, in which he pronounced that his government, the United States, does not yet have a strategy to respond to this crisis. (That part of the speech can be seen here).

That declaration has created a quagmire for Obama. The difficulty concerns the rejection of a president that was seen as weak, hesitant and lax in his strategies toward global problems and that now, with this statement, confirms the vision of his critics.

Many U.S. citizens and political analysts want Obama to do something to fix the international situation. However, it seems to me that the fact that his opponents are constantly accusing Obama of not doing anything reflects just the opposite of what they are criticizing; in other words, Obama does have strength. Only his strength is more closely focused on the strategy of being deliberate and restrictive than of acting quickly and forcefully in the face of international crisis.

The current crisis involving the Islamic State was provoked by America’s invasion of Iraq in attempts to avenge its wounded pride from the Sept. 11, 2001 attacks. Without Saddam Hussein’s iron fist in Iraq, the country is divided into sects, producing a situation in which Muslims are killing other Muslims. And the probability of another terrorist attack in the West has risen, precisely because of the bellicose tactics and strategies of the Islamic State under the command of Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi.

To pretend that the United States alone can resolve the crisis in that zone is to plead ignorance. However, for the United States to work toward a resolution, one of the first people it must sit down with is no one else but Bashar al-Assad, the Syrian president-dictator. Bashar al-Assad was, until a few days ago, the number one enemy to defeat on the international stage. Today, he is another victim of al-Baghdadi’s strategy to form a caliphate in the lands along the Iraqi border.

The United States and the West must develop a strategy for that region that includes an understanding of the visions of the other actors: Qatar, Egypt and Lebanon — actors that aren’t always easy to read or trustworthy. Perhaps, then, it’s better to have a little bit of a cool head and a little time for deliberation before asking Obama to send troops — now, now, now — to confront the problems that currently grip the international community. It was already made clear that George W. Bush’s haste to demonstrate the strength of the United States did not create a safer world.


El mundo es complicado. Crisis, crisis, crisis por doquier. Por temas políticos, ideológicos, religiosos, económicos, sucesorios... la lista es larga. Y en cada crisis el mundo voltea a ver a Estados Unidos para saber qué va hacer la gran potencia para resolverla.

En este contexto y ante la radicalización del extremismo musulmán en la zona del este de Irak y la frontera con Siria a manos del Estado Islámico (ISIS), Barack Obama salió a fines de la semana pasada a dar una conferencia de prensa en la que declaró que su gobierno, que EU, no tiene una estrategia todavía para responder a esta crisis. (Esa parte del discurso se puede ver aquí:http://www.washingtonpost.com/blogs/the-fix/wp/2014/08/29/why-obamas-we-...)

La declaración ha generado un maremágnum para Obama. Rechazo hacia un presidente que de por sí era visto como débil, dubitativo y laxo de estrategias ante los problemas mundiales y que ahora, con estas declaraciones, confirma la visión de sus críticos.

Que haga algo Obama, es la petición de muchos estadunidenses y analistas de la política.

Me parece que el hecho de que constantemente estén acusando a Obama de no hacer nada refleja justamente lo opuesto de lo que critican sus detractores: que hay firmeza.

Simplemente la firmeza está más enfocada en la estrategia de ser más deliberativo y restrictivo que de actuar rápido y fuerte ante las crisis internacionales.

La crisis actual del Estado Islámico se generó por la incursión de EU en Irak para tratar de descargar el orgullo herido por los ataques del 11 de septiembre de 2001.

Sin la mano dura de Saddam Hussein en Irak, el país está dividido por sectarios. Son musulmanes matando a otros musulmanes.

Y la probabilidad de un nuevo ataque terrorista a Occidente se ha incrementado, justamente por las tácticas, estrategias y belicosidad del ISIS que comanda Abu Bakr al-Baghdadi.

Pretender que EU pueda resolver solo la crisis en esa zona es pecar de ignorancia. Para hacerlo, uno de los primeros interlocutores con quien EU tiene que sentarse es, nada más y nada menos que Bashar al-Assad, el presidente/dictador sirio.

Bashar al-Assad era, hasta ayer, el enemigo número uno a vencer en la arena internacional. Hoy es una víctima más de la estrategia de Al-Baghdadi de crear un “califato” en la frontera de su país con Irak.

EU y Occidente tienen que armar una estrategia hacia esa región que incluya conocer la visión de otros actores: Qatar, Egipto, Líbano. Actores que no son siempre fáciles de leer ni confiables.

Quizás por ello es mejor tener un poco de cabeza fría, de deliberación, antes de querer que Obama envíe tropas ya, ya, ya a enfrentar los problemas que aquejan actualmente a la comunidad internacional.

Ya quedó claro que las prisas de George W. Bush por demostrar la fortaleza estadunidense no generaron un mundo más seguro.
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