Donald Trump, the Absorber of Sound and Images

Published in Les Échos
(France) on 23 July 2015
by Virginie Robert (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Thomas Seligmann. Edited by Danielle Tezcan.
The Republican candidates are being pushed aside by the 69-year-old billionaire's presidential campaign.

In the spring of 2011, the real estate magnate did a quick campaign lap before giving up on his participation in the Republican primaries. He wasn't yet ready to leave the private sector, he explained at the time, and preferred to finish off "The Apprentice," his reality-TV show. This time, at the age of 69, the billionaire feels 10 feet tall. For a man who has built an empire around his name and image, there is nothing more effective than the publicity garnered in a presidential campaign. Even if he has had to part with a few million dollars, the opinion polls make it all worth it.

The latest ABC-Washington Post poll gives him 24 percent of the votes of Republicans, who have 16 candidates to choose from. To whom does this thundering businessman with an unlikely hairstyle appeal? Mainly people with no college degree, and not necessarily the most conservative voters, but instead younger ones (under 50 years of age).

Noise for Nothing?

He appeals to people to whom the anti-immigrant discourse - his main message - says something. Does he represent a danger to the Republican establishment? More like a nuisance. He steals the attention that the more serious candidates, like Scott Walker and Jeb Bush, would have the right to expect air time for. His ranking in the polls will even give him a place at the first debate in the Republican primaries, scheduled for Aug. 6. Even his gaffs (Mexican immigrants being "rapists" and his attack on John McCain, a Vietnam veteran) don't seem to be deterring his admirers.

All the same, these gaffs have lost him some Latin American sponsors for the Miss Universe competition, which he co-owns. "Republicans are scared that he will damage the image of the party among public opinion. His support will gradually diminish as he is subjected to meticulous scrutiny from the press and the party,"* believes Larry Jacobs, professor of political science at the University of Minnesota. With a year and a half to go until the elections, there is every chance that a lot of noise is being made over nothing.

*Editor’s Note: Accurately translated, this quote could not be verified.


Les candidats républicains sont bousculés par la campagne électorale du milliardaire de soixante-neuf ans.

Au printemps 2011, le magnat de l’immobilier avait fait un petit tour de piste avant de renoncer à participer aux primaires républicaines. Il n’était pas encore prêt à quitter le secteur privé expliquait-il alors, et préférait mener à terme son show de télé-réalité, « The Apprentice ». Cette fois, à soixante-neuf ans, le milliardaire se sent pousser des ailes. Pour un homme qui a bâti un empire sur son nom et son image, il n’y a rien de plus efficace que la publicité engendrée lors d’une campagne présidentielle. Même s’il faut qu’il y sacrifie quelques millions de dollars, la tribune en vaut la chandelle.

Le dernier sondage ABC– « Washington Post » le crédite de 24 % des voix chez les républicains, qui comptent 16 candidats . A qui plaît ce businessman tonitruant à la coiffure improbable ? Essentiellement aux personnes qui n’ont pas de diplôme, pas forcément les plus conservatrices mais plutôt jeunes (moins de 50 ans).

Du bruit pour rien ?

Des gens à qui le discours anti-immigrants – son principal message – parle. Est-ce qu’il représente un danger pour l’establishment républicain ? Une nuisance plutôt. Il vole l’attention que les candidats les plus sérieux (Scott Walker, Jeb Bush…) seraient en droit d’espérer en temps d’antenne. Son rang dans les sondages va même lui donner une place au premier débat des primaires républicaines, prévu le 6 août. Même ses bourdes (les immigrants mexicains « sont des violeurs », et son attaque contre le sénateur John McCain, vétéran du Vietnam) ne semblent pas détourner de lui ses admirateurs.

Elles lui ont quand même fait perdre quelques sponsors d’Amérique latine pour le concours de Miss Univers, une manifestation dont il est copropriétaire. « Les républicains ont peur qu’il abîme l’image du parti dans l’opinion publique. Ses soutiens vont diminuer au fur et à mesure qu’il sera l’objet de l’examen minutieux de la presse et du parti », estime Larry Jacobs, professeur de sciences politiques à l’Université du Minnesota. A un an et demi des élections, il y a toutes les chances que ce soit beaucoup de bruit pour rien.
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