Candidate Trump

Published in El País
(Spain) on 5 May 2016
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Jamie Agnew. Edited by Laurence Bouvard.
The withdrawal of Trump's rivals leaves the Republican Party at the mercy of populism.

The suspension of Sen. Ted Cruz and Gov. John Kasich’s campaigns for the presidential election in November has cleared the way for millionaire Donald Trump to be officially declared the candidate in the race to the White House at the Republican Party’s convention in July. The curtain has opened on a stage in which a populist, xenophobic, homophobic, sexist candidate will represent one of two options for occupying the presidency of the U.S. for the next four years.

Since announcing his participation in the primaries, Trump has been responsible for situations and made statements that are simply unacceptable for someone vying to occupy the most powerful political post in the world. His possibility of winning had been diminished in part due to his outlandish behavior, which had led to hopes that the primaries would reveal the displeasure of the conservative Republican electorate toward a candidate that the party itself had rejected. It was not to be. His campaign has been crowned victorious in a variety of areas which demonstrates the clear popular backing that he enjoys; if any Republican candidate other than Trump had been producing the same results, his rivals likely would have withdrawn some time ago.

The Republican Party, without a clear strategy or convincing alternative candidate, has failed in its attempts to block Trump’s nomination. Firstly, by hoping for his defeat in successive primaries, then, by trying to force a victory for Cruz in states like Colorado and, finally, by clinging desperately to the fantasy of a contested convention despite the political and public order risks that this would have entailed.

However, what the conservative establishment has failed to understand is that it is the party itself that for years has been laying the foundation for this Trump victory. It has tolerated and sympathized with the existence in its midst of a radical, populist movement like the tea party, which has systemically undermined confidence in the political classes; it has brought Congress to a standstill purely for tactical reasons; and it has ramped up its hostility toward the White House for being in enemy hands, even tolerating unfounded rumors about Barack Obama’s legitimacy to be president.

Whether or not predictions in the U.S. that Trump’s triumph will contribute to the downfall of a party with 160 years of history are correct — and some reputable conservatives are already making clear their intention to vote for Hillary Clinton in November — what is certain is that his victory is the final stage in a process that began when the Republicans still occupied the White House with George W. Bush.

Trump has been able to blend the anti-establishment tendencies of a party that plays a fundamental role in that very establishment, with the deep discontent of the middle classes over the economic crisis, and has topped it all off with a large dose of controversy and scandal. To the concern of those in the Republican Party who still have some sense, and to the unease of the rest of the world, Donald Trump now does not have a single rival in his race to the nomination for the White House.


Candidato Trump

La retirada de sus rivales deja al Partido Republicano a merced del populismo

El abandono del senador Ted Cruz y del gobernador John Kasich de la carrera por la nominación republicana para las elecciones presidenciales de noviembre deja libre el camino para que el millonario Donald Trump sea proclamado oficialmente candidato a la Casa Blanca en la convención de julio. Se abre un escenario real en el que un candidato populista, xenófobo, homófobo y machista encabezará una de las dos opciones para ocupar la presidencia de Estados Unidos durante los próximos cuatro años.

Desde que anunciara su participación en las primarias, Trump ha protagonizado situaciones y hecho declaraciones inaceptables para quien aspira a ostentar el cargo político electo más poderoso del mundo. En parte por ese comportamiento extravagante se minusvaloraron sus opciones de triunfo, a la espera de que las primarias acabaran mostrando el disgusto del elector conservador republicano hacia un candidato al que la propia dirección del partido rechazaba. No ha sido así. Su campaña se ha visto coronada por victorias en ámbitos diversos que demuestran un claro respaldo popular: si cualquier otro republicano que no fuera Trump hubiera sacado los mismos resultados, probablemente sus rivales se hubieran retirado hace tiempo.

El Partido Republicano, sin una estrategia clara ni candidatos convincentes, ha fracasado en sus intentos de bloquear la nominación. Primero, buscando sus derrotas en las sucesivas primarias; luego, forzando el proceso a favor de Cruz en Estados como Colorado; a continuación, agarrándose a la fantasía de una Convención abierta, a pesar del riesgo político —y de orden público— que esto supone...

Pero lo que el establishment conservador no ha entendido en todo este tiempo es que ha sido el mismo partido el que, durante años, ha sentado las bases para el paseo triunfal de Trump: ha tolerado —y simpatizado con— la existencia en su seno de un movimiento populista radical como el Tea Party, que ha minado sistemáticamente la confianza en la clase política; ha sometido al Congreso a una parálisis por motivos puramente tácticos; y ha llevado al límite su hostilidad contra la Casa Blanca por el hecho de estar en manos del partido rival, permitiendo incluso bulos que ponían en duda la legitimidad de Barack Obama para ser presidente.

Sean acertados o no los análisis en EE UU que pronostican que con el triunfo de la candidatura de Trump se asiste al suicidio de un partido con 160 años de historia —y hay ya reputados conservadores que hacen pública su intención de votar por Hilary Clinton en noviembre— lo cierto es que su consagración es la fase final de un proceso que comenzó cuando los republicanos todavía ocupaban por última vez la Casa Blanca, con George W. Bush.

Trump ha sabido combinar los reflejos antisistema de un partido que es parte fundamental del sistema con el profundo descontento causado entre la clase media por la crisis económica, todo aderezado con grandes dosis de escándalo y polémica. Para preocupación de lo que quede de sensato en el Partido Republicano, y sin duda para desasosiego del escenario global, Donald Trump ya no tiene en su campo rivales en la carrera hacia la Casa Blanca.
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1 COMMENT

  1. As a registered voter in the United States and a critical supporter of ” socialist ” Democrat Senator Bernie Sanders of Vermont- who recently won yet another ” surprise ” upset primary victory here in Rhode Island- I see a general crisis of the two party system in the United Stated. The news media – over-vilifying Republican Trump in order to make hawkish, Wall St. Hillary seem more inevitably presidential-has failed to sense the coming implosion of the Democratic Party.
    Working class white voters inclined in the past to vote Democrat do not find Hillary Clinton a very credible candidate. All the enthusiasm and passion is for Bernie Sanders and his message of ” political revolution ” . Bernie focuses on unacceptable economic inequality rather than effete and fatuous ” identity politics “.
    How can those Bernie Sanders voters ever accept that Queen of the capitalist the Status Quo , defender of the New Colonialism, Hillary Clinton. The neo-Democrats have betrayed the FDR pro-labor, pro-working class tradition for decades now. So even in the Democratic Party the chickens are coming home to roost.
    Come November ” democracy in America ” might be only in the streets – after this long ” Democracy Spring ” for followers of Bernie Sanders.
    [ http://radicalrons.blogspot.com ]