The West’s Deep-Seated Distrust of Russia

Published in Nikkei
(Japan) on 20 March 2018
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Hirotoshi Kimura. Edited by Helaine Schweitzer.
One could be forgiven for seriously wondering if what we are dealing with right now might not be a Cold War redux: Russo-West relations have hit rock bottom, again, with Russian diplomats being expelled in quick succession by the U.S., among other countries.

The direct precipitant of all this geopolitical hullaballoo is the attempted murder of former Russian military intelligence officer Sergei Skripal and his daughter in Salisbury, in the south of England. To add some biographical background, while serving a treason sentence in Russia for having spied for the U.K. as a double agent, Skripal was released from jail as part of a spy exchange, and took up residence in the U.K.

Shortly after the incident, the British government claimed that a nerve agent developed by the former Soviet Union was the culprit, boldly proceeding to the expulsions of 23 Russian diplomats. Britain has, in the past, too, had this sort of tragedy occur on its own soil, for example, when a former Russian intelligence officer was poisoned with a radioactive substance.

This latest case, however, seems to have struck a sympathetic chord with the U.S. and Europe as the first nerve agent attacks since the end of World War II, prompting them and NATO to give a green light to massive expulsions, totaling as many as 150 Russian diplomats.

Even before these attacks, the West harbored deep distrust toward iron-fisted Vladimir Putin's Russia, with its boldfaced global-scale electoral interference campaigns (not least in the 2016 U.S. presidential election) involving cyberattacks and disinformation, as well as the annexation of Crimea.

Much of the West justifiably suspects these sorts of shenanigans – which have every possibility of shaking national machinery to its core – to be the work of Russian Embassy intelligence officers. It appears that in this spate of expulsions, this pent-up mistrust has at long last come to a head.

Meanwhile, Russia adamantly denies its involvement. However, it should not dismiss the Western actions out of hand. Rather, it should take them as a grave warning: a warning against its persistent provocations and destabilizing behavior. Additionally, it should eschew any further aggravation of the situation, and seek to recover the trust of the international community.

So far, the Japanese government has distanced itself from similar retaliatory moves in favor of first ascertaining all the facts. Prime Minister Shinzo Abe is scheduled to visit Russia in late May. There he should broach this incident with Putin and stress his determination to get to the truth of the matter.


再び冷戦時代に戻ったかのような印象だ。欧米とロシアの関係が大きく冷え込み、欧米諸国などが相次ぎロシア人外交官を追放する深刻な事態になっている。

 直接のきっかけは、今月初めに英南部で起きたロシア人暗殺未遂事件だ。被害に遭ったのはロシアの元情報機関員と娘で、神経剤で襲撃されたという。元情報員は国家反逆罪で服役中にスパイ交換で釈放され、英国に移住していた。

 英政府は旧ソ連製の神経剤が襲撃に使われたとし、ロシアの犯行だと表明。制裁措置として外交官23人の国外追放などに踏み切った。英国では過去にも、ロシアの元情報機関員が放射性物質で毒殺される事件などが起きていた。

 欧米では「欧州が戦後初めて神経剤で攻撃された」として、英国に同調する動きが広がった。結果的に欧州各国や米国、北大西洋条約機構(NATO)などが相次ぎロシア外交官の追放に動き、その総数は150人を超えた。

 欧米はこれまでも、強権的なプーチン大統領が率いるロシアへの不信を募らせていた。ウクライナ領クリミア半島の併合に加え、米大統領選を含めた各国の選挙への介入、サイバー攻撃や偽情報の流布などを仕掛けて欧米を揺さぶってきたとみられるからだ。

 こうした工作活動の一端を、外交官と称して大使館に勤める情報機関員が担ってきたとされる。欧米が協調してロシア外交官追放に踏み切ったのは、募りに募った対ロ不信が背景にあるともいえる。

 ロシアは襲撃事件への関与を否定するが、欧米がこぞって対ロ制裁に動いた現実を真摯に受け止めなければならない。欧米との対立をあおり、国際秩序を乱すロシアへの警告である。ロシアはこれ以上の関係悪化を避けるべく、信頼回復の道を模索すべきだ。

 日本政府は「事実関係の解明」が先決として欧米に同調していない。安倍晋三首相は5月末に訪ロする予定だが、首脳会談でこの事件の真相究明を求めるといった対応が最低限、必要になろう。
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