Outcomes and Lessons of Kissinger’s Realpolitik

Published in Tokyo Shimbun
(Japan) on 4 December 2023
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Dorothy Phoenix. Edited by Patricia Simoni.
He devoted his power to preventing military conflict and constructing a stable international order by devising a balance of power between major nations. He was the late Henry Kissinger, who spearheaded U.S. Cold War diplomacy. He was a strategist capable of dreaming up great visions.

Kissinger's greatest achievement was rapprochement between the U.S. and China. He visited China in absolute secrecy, not missing the opportunity during the antagonism between China and its fellow socialist state, the Soviet Union. This visit was related to U.S. President Richard Nixon's shocking visit to China the following year, 1972, and the normalization of diplomatic relations in 1979.

Kissinger, who was a presidential adviser, sent Nixon to China and said, at the time, that he would link arms with China to oppose the Soviet Union; however, in the future, that he might need to link arms with the Soviet Union to oppose an emerging China.

The plan to link with the Soviet Union (then with Russia) fell apart, but last year Kissinger made a suggestion regarding the invasion of Ukraine that should be noted. In a reversal of his stance that Ukraine should not join NATO, he claimed that it should join NATO after an armistice with Russia.

His reasoning was that rather than leaving an unchecked Ukraine, whose military strength has increased remarkably through military support from the West, it would be conducive to European security to restrain it with membership in NATO.

These two anecdotes attest to Kissinger's preeminently foresighted nature and his thorough realism.

Conversely, Kissinger is dogged by criticism as well as praise.

The other side of a diplomacy that aims for the balance of power between powerful nations is that it sacrifices the benefit of small and medium-sized nations. Nixon's visit to China proceeded with no consultation with Japan, a bitter lesson for Japan.

Joining hands with opponents who have differing political systems is level-headed realism, but it is undeniable that it makes light of the U.S.' value system of human rights and democracy.

In the final stages of the Vietnam War, Cambodia was heavily bombarded, killing many civilian victims. Kissinger was also involved in a military coup that overthrew Chile's leftist government.

As fierce rivalry between powerful nations grows, the rise of emerging and developing nations — referred to as the Global South — is considerable. A new international trend is emerging that is too much for Kissinger's brand of realpolitik to manage. There are many lessons that we must take from Kissinger's diplomacy.


<社説>キッシンジャー氏 現実外交の成果と教訓

大国間の力の均衡を図ることで軍事衝突を防ぎ、安定した国際秩序を構築しようと力を尽くした。冷戦期の米国外交を率いた故ヘンリー・キッシンジャー氏である。大きな構想を描くことのできる戦略家だった。
 キッシンジャー氏の最大の業績は米中和解だ。社会主義国同士のソ連と中国が対立した機を逃さず極秘に訪中し、翌1972年のニクソン米大統領の電撃訪中と79年の国交正常化につなげた。
 大統領補佐官だったキッシンジャー氏は、今はソ連と対抗するために中国と手を握る必要があるが、台頭するであろう中国と対抗するために、将来はソ連と組むべきだ、と語ってニクソン氏を中国へ送り出した。
 ソ連(ロシア)と組むという構想は潰(つい)えたが、キッシンジャー氏は昨年、ウクライナ侵攻に絡んで注目すべき提案をした。北大西洋条約機構(NATO)へのウクライナ加盟に反対していた姿勢を翻し、ロシアとの停戦後に加盟させるべきだと主張したのだ。
 欧米の軍事支援によって軍事力を著しく増したウクライナを野放しにしておくよりは、NATOの一員にして「たが」をはめた方が欧州の安全保障に資する、というのが理由である。
 この二つの逸話は、キッシンジャー氏の卓越した先見性とともに、徹底したリアリズム(現実主義)を物語る。
 半面、キッシンジャー氏には毀誉褒貶(きよほうへん)がついて回る。
 大国間の力の均衡を図る外交の裏で、中・小国の利益は犠牲になった。ニクソン訪中は日本の頭越しに行われ、日本には苦い教訓となった。
 政治体制の異なる相手でも手を握る冷徹な現実主義が、米国の価値観である人権や民主主義をないがしろにした面も否定できない。
 ベトナム戦争末期にカンボジアを猛爆して多くの市民の犠牲を生んだ。チリの左翼政権を転覆させた軍事クーデターにも関与した。
 激しさを増す大国間競争の一方で、グローバルサウスと呼ばれる新興国・途上国の台頭が著しい。キッシンジャー流の現実外交では手に余るような新たな国際潮流が生まれている。キッシンジャー外交からくみ取るべき教訓は多い。
This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

Hot this week

Switzerland: Donald Trump: 100 Days Already, but How Many Years?

     

Mexico: EU: Concern for the Press

Germany: Cynicism, Incompetence and Megalomania

Russia: Political Analyst Reveals the Real Reason behind US Tariffs*

Austria: Musk, the Man of Scorched Earth

Topics

Mexico: EU: Concern for the Press

Austria: Musk, the Man of Scorched Earth

Germany: Cynicism, Incompetence and Megalomania

Switzerland: Donald Trump: 100 Days Already, but How Many Years?

     

Austria: Donald Trump Revives the Liberals in Canada

Germany: Absolute Arbitrariness

Israel: Trump’s National Security Adviser Forgot To Leave Personal Agenda at Home and Fell

Mexico: The Trump Problem

Related Articles

Japan: US Administration Losing Credibility 3 Months into Policy of Threats

Japan: US-Japan Defense Minister Summit: US-Japan Defense Chief Talks Strengthen Concerns about Single-Minded Focus on Strength

Japan: Trump’s Tariffs Threaten To Repeat Historical Mistakes

Hong Kong: China, Japan, South Korea Pave Way for Summit Talks; Liu Teng-Chung: Responding to Trump

Japan: Partial Cease-fire: Avoid Putin’s Pace