The China-Philippines Scarborough Shoal Conflict and the US

Published in Nanfang Daily
(China) on 29 April 2012
by Zhang Mingliang (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Jeffrey King. Edited by Gillian Palmer .
The April events surrounding the Scarborough Shoal in the South China Sea drew the world’s attention and also had a pronounced effect on China’s citizens. On the surface, this event seems to be one concerning only China and the Philippines. However, it is actually a part of the greater game being played by superpowers. This event demonstrates the new developments taking place in the South China Sea, but it also offers the potential for cooperation in the area.

Containing China in the pursuit of interests

The conflict over the Scarborough Shoal between the Philippines and a Chinese boat reflects the strategic interest the Philippines has in containing China in the South China Sea. In the Asia-Pacific region, America’s dominant position has been increasingly threatened by China. One could say that China’s 30 years of rapid growth has canceled out America’s previous leading position. This change, coupled with the ideological differences between the two, has caused the U.S. to view China as a potential adversary. Devising means of containing China is a main component of U.S. policy toward China. As Taiwan’s relations with China continue to warm and as Taiwan’s strategic interest in containing China continues to drop, the strategic value of the South China Sea only increases.

Before the U.S. secretary of Defense and secretary of State publicly stated America’s involvement in the South China Sea in 2010, the U.S. had never used such official channels to express their intention of getting involved in the affairs of the region. However, the South China Sea is vital to many American interests. The shipping routes in the region are of crucial importance to the U.S.; something the U.S. has vocally voiced its concerns about. Practically all high-ranking American officials have publicly expressed their desire to maintain the safety and freedom of these shipping lanes. Many American firms have also invested large amounts in the region. The trade between the U.S. and the surrounding countries continues to increase. It is for these reasons that the U.S. has expressed its desire to get involved in the affairs of the South China Sea.

Military cooperation between U.S. and Philippines provokes Philippines’ strong stance against China

The period after the April conflict over the Scarborough Shoal not only saw in increase in military cooperation between the U.S. and Philippines but also witnessed their carrying out of joint military exercises in areas not far from the shoal. 10 years ago, at a time when military cooperation between the two countries was also strong, a Philippine military ship rammed into a Chinese fishing vessel near the Scarborough Shoal. At present, although America’s support for the Philippines during the April Scarborough Shoal conflict is not obvious, it is clear that continuous expansion in military cooperation between the U.S. and Philippines is one of the main factors for the Philippines’ tough stance against China in the South China Sea.

For the Philippines, the strategic value of the Scarborough Shoal outweighs its economic value. Unlike Chinese fishermen, Philippine fishermen seldom fish in the area. Moreover, there is currently no proof showing that the Scarborough Shoal has large reserves of oil and gas. Therefore, the economic value of such a place is not high for the Philippines. However, the shoal is close to the Philippine coast, and they are very reluctant to see it controlled by another country, especially one in whom they do not have a lot of trust. For the Philippines, the Scarborough Shoal is a security issue. The recent conflict in the area allows the Philippines to strengthen their relationship with the U.S., which may result in the U.S. increasing its level of support for the Philippines.

The U.S. has been increasing its overall cooperation with the surrounding nations in the South China Sea as a means to become more involved, both directly and indirectly, with the affairs of the South China Sea. For this reason, the U.S. has been able to maintain its prestige among its allies in the region.

Finding common interests is the only way to ensure a win-win situation

The Scarborough Shoal has belonged to China for a very long time. The Chinese government has made three separate announcements proclaiming the names of several South China Sea islands in 1935, 1947 and 1983. Among those named included the Scarborough Shoal. In 1983, the Chinese Committee on Geographical Names announced the names for several South China Sea islands — the first such instance since the founding of the PRC. Again, this announcement, the most comprehensive announcement of its kind, included the Scarborough Shoal. As an official announcement, a public naming is a means of identifying and recognizing sovereignty. Furthermore, while China made its first two proclamations in 1935 and 1947, the Philippines had still not gained independence. In 1983, when the Chinese government confirmed its sovereignty over the Scarborough Shoal, the Philippines raised no objections.

Looking back on the Scarborough Shoal conflict in April, it’s clear that China would be able to more effectively govern the island. Certainly, the use of Philippine naval vessels is not the best option. If the official Chinese ships, while in their governance of the shoal, are able to look after the economic activities of the Philippine ships in the area, much like China’s protection of legitimate activities between Chinese and foreigners, then this would allow for greater mutual benefit and ultimately, a win-win situation.

Furthermore, the Scarborough Shoal is not the most controversial issue of the South China Sea. The sovereignty and ownership of the Spratly Islands is the real issue. The Scarborough Shoal is north of the Spratly Islands and is not a part of the Spratly Islands dispute. In contrast to the Spratly Islands issue, the Scarborough Shoal does not directly involve several countries. It only involves China and the Philippines and therefore can be resolved between these two countries through discussions. The exploratory solutions used to resolve the Scarborough Shoal issue could then later serve as an example as to how to resolve the Spratly Islands predicament.


 4月份在南海黄岩岛水域的事件吸引着国际社会的眼球,并牵动着国民的心。这一事件表面上仅是中国与菲律宾之间的争议,但背后却与大国间的博弈密切相连。这一事件部分地呈现出南海局势发展的新态势,也可能成为南海合作的突破点之一。

  为了利益,更为制华

  菲律宾在黄岩岛海域与中国船只的对峙部分地体现了菲律宾在南海牵制中国的战略价值。在亚太,美国优势地位越来越多地受到中国的冲击,或者说中国近30年的快速增长部分地抵消了美国在亚太的优势。加上意识形态领域的差异,中国自然而然地被美国视作潜在的对手。如何牵制中国是美国对华政策的一部分,在两岸关系缓和与台湾在美国牵制中国(大陆)的战略价值下降背景下,南海的战略意义在上升。

  在2010年美国国防部长和国务卿公开介入南海事宜之前,美国从未有过如此级别的高官如此高调如此频密地公开介入南海事宜。南海事宜关系到美国多方面的利益,南海航线对美国意义重大,这也是美国政府公开表示关注的,几乎所有级别的美国官员在公开言论中都会要求确保南海航线的自由与安全。美国企业在南海也有不少投资。美国与南海周边国家的贸易量也在不断上升。这些涉及到南海的现实利益都是美国介入南海的动因。

  美菲军事合作促使菲律宾对华强硬

  伴随着4月份中菲黄岩岛对峙的不仅是近两年加速升温的美菲军事合作,更有美菲在南海距离黄岩岛不远的地方举行的联合军演。10年前,也是在黄岩岛水域,也是在美国与菲律宾军事关系升温的背景下,菲律宾的军舰撞击在那里捕鱼的中国渔船。虽然表面上看不到美国在4月份黄岩岛对峙中如何支援菲律宾,但毫无疑问的是,菲律宾与美国军事合作范围与深度的不断拓展是菲律宾在南海议题上对华强硬的因素之一。

  对菲律宾而言,黄岩岛的战略价值远大于经济价值。与中国渔民常到黄岩岛水域捕鱼不同的是,菲律宾很少有渔民到这一水域;再者,目前还没有资料证明黄岩岛水域的油气资源前景。因此,黄岩岛对菲律宾的经济价值不大。但是,黄岩岛距离菲律宾海岸不远,不是菲律宾在战略上信任的一方如果控制了黄岩岛,可能会被菲律宾认为是在安全上的威胁。此外,借助黄岩岛事件,菲律宾也可进一步拉近与美国的关系,美国也可能由此加大对菲律宾的军事援助力度。

  美国以拓展其与中国之外的南海周边国家多方位合作的方式直接或间接地介入南海,由此也维护了美国在其亚太盟友中的声望。

  寻找共同利益才能实现共赢

  黄岩岛早就归属中国。1935年、1947年和1983年,中国政府3次公布的南海诸岛名称中都包括了黄岩岛。1983年,中国地名委员会公布南海诸岛名称,这是新中国成立后第一次公布包括黄岩岛在内的南海诸岛名称,也是距今最近的一次,更是公布南海岛礁名称最为全面的一次。作为官方行为,公布名称事实上是另外一种形式的认定和确认主权。而在中国政府上述3次公布名称时,1935年和1947年菲律宾尚未独立;1983年中国政府以公布地名方式确认中国对包括黄岩岛在内的南海诸岛的主权时,当时也未见菲律宾有何异议。

  从4月份黄岩岛对峙中看到,中国可以更为有效地治理黄岩岛水域,毕竟菲律宾的军事船只并非最佳选择。如果中国的公务船在治理黄岩岛水域时,也能关照到菲律宾在该水域的经济活动,如同中国保护国内外国人与其正当活动一样,那么在黄岩岛水域就可能找到更多具体的共同利益,从而实现共赢。再者,中菲围绕黄岩岛的并非南海争议的核心,南沙群岛的权利归属与控制才是南海争议的核心。黄岩岛地处南沙群岛北部,并不属于南沙群岛的一部分。与南沙争议直接涉及多方不同的是,黄岩岛仅涉及中菲双边,也就是说黄岩岛是可以双边途径协商的。在黄岩岛议题上的探索性解决思路也可能为南沙困局提供借鉴。
This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

Hot this week

Mexico: EU: Concern for the Press

Russia: Political Analyst Reveals the Real Reason behind US Tariffs*

Israel: Trump’s National Security Adviser Forgot To Leave Personal Agenda at Home and Fell

Germany: Absolute Arbitrariness

Austria: Musk, the Man of Scorched Earth

Topics

Mexico: EU: Concern for the Press

Austria: Musk, the Man of Scorched Earth

Germany: Cynicism, Incompetence and Megalomania

Switzerland: Donald Trump: 100 Days Already, but How Many Years?

     

Austria: Donald Trump Revives the Liberals in Canada

Germany: Absolute Arbitrariness

Israel: Trump’s National Security Adviser Forgot To Leave Personal Agenda at Home and Fell

Mexico: The Trump Problem

Related Articles

Mexico: The Trump Problem

Taiwan: Making America Great Again and Taiwan’s Crucial Choice

Venezuela: Vietnam: An Outlet for China

Germany: US Companies in Tariff Crisis: Planning Impossible, Price Increases Necessary

Hong Kong: Can US Tariffs Targeting Hong Kong’s ‘Very Survival’ Really Choke the Life out of It?