Can Democracy Survive the Age of COVID-19?

Published in Tokyo Shimbun
(Japan) on 29 April 2021
by (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Joseph Santiago. Edited by Gillian Palmer.
The spread of COVID-19 affects not only our livelihoods, but also has a huge influence on international relations, the most striking of which is the conflict between the United States and China, which is being likened to a new Cold War. As democracy, based on elections, battles autocracy, based on one-party rule, will the former be able to hold on?

First, let’s review a bit of history. The world used to be divided into two camps, capitalists and communists, who opposed each other with a fiery passion. This mutual antagonism, dubbed the Cold War, was declared to have ended by the leaders of each camp, the United States and the Soviet Union. Two years later, the Soviet Union collapsed.

America and China: A Battle of Ideologies

The end of the Cold War may have led to capitalist America taking the reins as the Earth’s sole superpower, but failures like the reckless Iraq war and the bankruptcy of Lehman Brothers have loosened capitalism’s grip on the world, allowing China, once a member of the socialist bloc, to gather strength and step up to the plate.

Catching a glimpse of the cracks forming in the capitalist monolith, China began to build up both its economic and military power. Under Xi Jinping’s government, which often heralds a great revival of the Chinese people, this buildup has intensified, as the Chinese navy’s advances into the East and South China Seas have caused great anxiety in nearby nations.

Wariness grows stronger in the Joe Biden administration, which worries, given how much military power it’s accumulating, that China could invade Taiwan in the next six years. So much, in fact, that for the first time in 52 years, Taiwan came up in a joint statement after Prime Minister Suga Yoshihide and Biden’s first summit together. This unprecedented level of tension may very well mark the advent of a new Cold War between America and China.

As both countries fortify their economic and military resources, political animosity continues to grow as well. In March, at his first press conference since taking office, Biden framed America and China’s relationship as “a battle between the utility of democracies in the 21st century and autocracies," vowing to pour all the energy he can into getting the better of China.

How Much Should Our Freedoms Be Restricted?

COVID-19 has only fueled this rivalry. On top of disputes over how the virus originated, from the very beginning, each country’s handling of the virus couldn’t have been more different. While the Donald Trump administration championed individual freedom, stopping short of enforcing masks, China closed off the city of Wuhan for 2 1/2 months. Also, according to America's Johns Hopkins University, compared to the more than 570,000 people who have died from COVID-19 in the U.S., China has had just shy of 5,000 deaths. Based on facts like this, the Xi government proclaimed that this “clearly shows the superiority of socialism and the Communist party’s leadership.”

Certainly, in order to enact COVID-19 countermeasures in democratic nations, some necessary limits must be placed on our rights and freedoms. In a less democratic country like China, you can take measures that reduce personal freedom in the name of public health. Even countries such as New Zealand and Taiwan have had great success in suppressing COVID-19. However, that doesn’t mean autocracy has surpassed democracy as a form of government. No matter how many cases you prevent, or how powerful your economy becomes, a society that thinks little of the rights and freedoms of its people cannot be sound.

As German Chancellor Angela Merkel, who was raised in socialist East Germany, said in an address to the German people, “We are a democracy. We do not live by constraint, but by shared knowledge and participation. This is an historic task and it can only be accomplished together.” In addition, Vice President Kamala Harris, the first Black vice president in American history, said, “America's democracy is not guaranteed. It is only as strong as our willingness to fight for it, to guard it and never take it for granted.”

Obviously, democracy isn’t perfect. Perhaps it only just edges out other forms of government in human history, but that’s exactly why we must always work to improve it.

Last, here’s a startling report on the state of democracy. According to data from the Swedish research institute V-Dem from 2019, for the first time in 18 years, there are more autocracies in the world than democracies, as the number of democracies fell to 87, while the number of autocracies rose to 92.

Working Together toward a Better System

Under the difficult situation democracy faces with COVID-19 and China’s economic domination, democratic movements around the world may be wavering. We democratic nations must show that we can contain COVID-19, all while protecting human rights and freedom and living proud, prosperous lives. This isn’t just a matter of whether or not democracy will survive; it’s about what we can do to make sure it survives. This is the message we should be receiving from life under COVID-19.

As we move past the first year of living with COVID-19, cases still continue to spread. How should we be living in the “Age of COVID”? Along with all of you, I’ll be using many points of view to formulate my own new way of life.


<社説>コロナの時代に考える 民主主義は生き残るか

新型コロナウイルスの感染拡大は、私たちの暮らしのみならず、国際関係にも大きな影響を与えています。顕著になったのは「新冷戦」にも例えられる米中間の対立です。選挙による「民主主義」と共産党一党支配の「専制主義」が優位性を争う中、民主主義は生き残ることができるのでしょうか。
 歴史を少しだけ振り返ります。世界はかつて資本主義と共産主義の二つの陣営に分かれ、激しく対立していました。冷戦と呼ばれたこの対立は一九八九年、それぞれを率いた米国とソビエト連邦(ソ連)によって終結が宣言され、その二年後、ソ連は崩壊します。
◆政治体制巡る米中対立
 冷戦終結後は一時、資本主義陣営を率いた米国の一極時代を迎えますが、無謀なイラク戦争や、リーマン・ショックなど資本主義を巡る混乱でその優位性は薄れていきます。代わりに台頭したのがかつて東側陣営だった中国です。
 中国は資本主義諸国の疲弊を横目に、経済的な力をつけ、それに伴い、軍事力も増強します。「中華民族の偉大な復興」を掲げる習近平体制の下、その傾向はより顕著になりました。東シナ海や南シナ海では、中国の海洋進出が周辺国との間で緊張を高めています。
 バイデン米政権は、軍事力を増した中国が「六年以内に台湾を侵攻する恐れがある」との警戒感も強めています。
 菅義偉首相とバイデン米大統領との初の日米首脳会談後に発表された共同声明では、五十二年ぶりに台湾問題に言及しました。
 かつてない緊張の高まり、米中「新冷戦」の到来です。
 米中は軍事や経済に加え、政治体制を巡る対立も深めています。
 バイデン大統領は三月、就任後初の記者会見で、米中関係を「二十一世紀における民主主義の有用性と専制主義との闘いだ」と位置づけ、中国との競争を制することに力を注ぐと強調しました。
◆自由・人権どこまで制限
 米中対立の火に油を注いだのが新型コロナウイルスです。発生源を巡る論争に加え、米中両国の初期の感染対策が正反対で、感染者数に大きな違いが出たからです。
 発生当初、米国のトランプ政権は自由を重んじてマスクすら推奨せず、一方、中国は武漢を二カ月半にわたり都市封鎖しました。
 米ジョンズ・ホプキンズ大学の集計によると、新型コロナの死者は米国で五十七万人を超えたのに対し、中国では五千人弱にとどまります。習国家主席は「共産党の指導と、わが国の社会主義制度の明らかな優越性を示した」と、体制の優位を宣伝しています。
 確かに、民主主義国家では感染対策を講じるにも自由や権利に十分配慮することが必要です。中国のような非民主国家では、個人の権利よりも公衆衛生優先の強硬策を採ることができます。
 実際、民主主義下で感染抑え込みに成功したのは、ニュージーランドや台湾などごく一部です。
 でも、民主主義より専制主義の方が優れた政治制度とは思えません。いくら感染を抑え込み、経済的に台頭しても、個人が尊重されず、自由や人権が軽視される社会が健全とは言えないからです。
 専制国家、旧東独出身のメルケル独首相の演説から紹介します。
 「私たちは民主主義国です。何かを強いられるのではなく知識を共有し、活発な参加を促すことで繁栄します。これは歴史的な仕事です。私たちが力を合わせ、立ち向かうことでのみ克服できます」
 黒人初の米副大統領となったハリス氏はこう訴えました。「米国の民主主義は決して保障されたものでなく、私たちの意志があってこそ強くなります」
 確かに民主主義は完璧な制度ではなく、人類史に登場した他の政治制度より少しましなだけかもしれません。だからこそ、より良くするための努力が必要なのです。
 民主主義に関する気になる報告があります。スウェーデンの調査機関V−Demによると二〇一九年時点のデータですが、民主主義の国・地域は八十七に減り、非民主主義の国・地域は九十二に増えました。民主国家の数が非民主国家を下回るのは十八年ぶりです。
◆力合わせて良い制度に
 新型コロナを巡る民主主義国家の苦境や中国の経済的台頭は、これから民主化を目指す人々をためらわせるかもしれません。そうならないよう民主主義国の私たちが奮起して自由や人権を守りながら感染を抑え込み、豊かに生きる姿を示さなければならないのです。
 民主主義は生き残るか、ではなく、民主主義を生き残らせるためにどう行動すべきか。コロナの時代は私たちにそう語りかけます。
    ◇    ◇
 コロナ禍は一年以上続き、感染は依然拡大が続きます。私たちはこの「コロナの時代」をどう生きればいいのか。読者とともに、さまざまな視点から考えます。
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