The “U.S. Tone” in G8 Declaration

Published in Xinhua
(China) on 5 June 2011
by Liu Baolai (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Yipeng Xie. Edited by Gillian Palmer    .
The G8 Summit was recently held in the French coastal city of Deauville. After the summit, the eight countries published the 18-page Deauville G8 Declaration, in which leaders of these eight countries expressed their considerable attention to the situations in western Asia and northern Africa. The declaration emphasizes “our commitment to support democratic reform ... peace, stability, prosperity, shared growth and development” and covers the G8’s decision to financially assist countries in these areas. “[M]ultilateral development banks could provide over $20 [billion], including €3.5 [billion] from the EIB, for Egypt and Tunisia for 2011-2013 in support of suitable reform efforts.” According to the news, after leaders of the eight countries met with leaders of Egypt, Tunisia and other African countries on May 27 at noon, Tunisian Minister of Finance Ayed revealed that French President Sarkozy had proposed increasing the amount of aid to $40 billion.

On May 24, the World Bank announced an offer of $6 billion in loans to Egypt and Tunisia to support governmental budgets and to encourage private investments, as well as to attract foreign investments.

President Obama’s new thoughts on policy in the Middle East imbue the above claims of the G8 Summit. On May 19, President Obama made his second speech on Middle Eastern policy since his inauguration. During his speech, Obama clearly stated that the U.S. would request that the World Bank and IMF take measures to “stabilize and modernize the economies of Tunisia and Egypt ... and support the governments that will be elected later this year.” Conspicuously, the G8 Summit makes concrete Obama’s policies. Especially from the U.S. attitude toward Egypt, we can easily discern the U.S. government’s political goal: The U.S. can lose Mubarak but can never lose Egypt. Therefore, the U.S., hoping for close cooperation with the new Egyptian government, has put Egypt on its “road map” to enable Egypt to make a smooth transition.

Currently, the political situation is not stable. Incessant mass demonstrations, wide-ranged religious battles, unscrupulous robberies, prison breaks, a declining economy — numerous public complaints continue to occur. According to Egypt’s minister of finance, since the unrest began, economic losses have reached $3.5 billion dollars, of which $2 billion has been lost from tourism. If the chaos continues, Egypt’s economy will finally collapse. However, Obama’s new strategy can stabilize Egypt and let it follow the track planned by the U.S. with the G8’s financial aid. As the “big brother” in the Arab world, Egypt will serve as the best example for other Arab countries if the planned track is successful.

At the summit, the host, French President Sarkozy, was very active and accumulated much political capital. However, in actuality, he had only a minor role. Through the G8 Summit, people witnessed the U.S.’s leading role and also heard the echo of Obama’s new thoughts on the Middle East in Europe.

Liu Baolai is the former vice president of the Chinese People’s Institute of Foreign Affairs.



日前,在法国海滨小城多维尔市举行了八国集团(G8)峰会,会后八国发表长达18页的《多维尔宣言》,其中,八国元首表达了对西亚北非地区局势的严重关切。宣言强调,“支持该地区人民的民主、和平、稳定和发展的诉求”,并决定经援该地区国家,“多国银行承诺提供200亿美元援助,其中欧洲投资银行将在2011年—2013年向埃及和突尼斯提供35亿美元资金援助,以支持其社会和经济改革进程”。据报道,27日中午,八国元首与埃及、突尼斯等非洲国家领导人会晤后,突尼斯财长阿伊德透露,法国总统萨科齐提议将援助金额提高到400亿美元。

5月24日,世界银行曾宣布,将向埃及和突尼斯提供60亿美元贷款,支持政府预算,鼓励私人投资,吸引外资。

八国峰会的上述宣布,是与美国总统奥巴马中东“新思维”的有关举措一脉相承的。5月19日,奥巴马总统在美国务院发表自他上任以来的第二次中东政策演讲。在演讲中,奥巴马明确表示,美将要求世界银行和国际货币基金组织采取措施“稳住埃及和突尼斯两国经济,使之经济现代化,并支持两国民选政府”。显而易见,八国峰会是对奥氏此举的具体贯彻和落实。尤其是从美国对待埃及的态度上不难察知华盛顿的政治图谋,即美国可以失去穆巴拉克,但决不能失去埃及。因此,美要将埃及纳入其“路线图”,使之实现平稳过渡,谋求埃及新政权继续同美保持密切关系。

当前,埃国内政局不稳,群众游行不断,宗教械斗四起,盗贼横行,犯人越狱,经济下滑,民怨又升,市场萧条。据埃及财长称,自埃及动乱以来,经济损失已高达35亿美元,其中旅游损失20亿美元。长此以往,埃及经济将难以为继。而通过八国集团的经援,稳住埃及,使之沿着美国制定的轨道走下去,不失为奥巴马的一个新招。作为阿拉伯世界的“老大哥”,埃及模式如果能够成功,将对其他阿拉伯国家产生示范作用。

会上,作为东道主的法国总统萨科齐十分活跃,大捞政治资本。其实,他只是一个配角而已。通过八国峰会,人们看到了美国的主导作用,也听到了奥巴马中东 “新思维”在欧洲的“同声相应”。(中国人民外交学会前副会长 刘宝莱)
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