If Europeans could vote for the next U.S. President today, we would elect Barack Obama, with a noticeable majority over his Republican rival, John McCain. At least that is what some recently published surveys assert. What is even more noteworthy is that the Democratic candidate also exacts a victory among the right-wing European electorate. Surprises will never cease.
If one wishes to speculate, one can think of reasons, not all of them reasonable. Barack Obama has already for months been monopolizing the attention of TV news and the front pages of newspapers because of his hard struggle against Hillary Clinton, while John McCain, who prevailed very quickly over his Republican rivals, has been until now hardly noticed by the foreign media. Obama is young, offers an optimistic picture of the future, and belongs to a racial minority that that was once discriminated against – traits that always strike a compassionate chord.
So much can be said about the power of image and its limitations that very little has been said about Obama’s agenda, which, as far as social politics are concerned, is diametrically opposed to what is championed by the conservative European electorate. By contrast, John McCain’s agenda connects perfectly with the concerns of the right and center voter – defense of life, liberty, and the family, as well as an approach to illegal immigration that is more sensible than the one currently presented by the Republican Party.
However, it is in foreign policy that the European electorate needs to know with whom it is dealing. John McCain has spent many years forging alliances with European personalities, while the Democratic candidate is absolutely new at foreign policy matters and is only interested in the domestic agenda. When he speaks about international conflicts, the slips of Barack Obama are memorable, but they are beyond the grasp of an electorate that, largely, would not be able to locate Spain on a map.
El despiste europeo sobre Obama
FRANCISCO DE ANDRÉS
Si a fecha de hoy los europeos pudieran votar por el próximo presidente de los Estados Unidos elegiríamos a Barack Obama, con notable diferencia sobre su rival republicano, John McCain. Eso es al menos lo que afirman algunas encuestas recientemente publicadas. Lo más notable es que la victoria del virtual candidato demócrata se impone también entre el electorado europeo de derechas. No ganamos para sorpresas.
Puestos a especular, a uno se le ocurren razones no del todo razonables. Barack Obama lleva muchos meses monopolizando la atención de los telediarios y de las portadas de los periódicos debido a su dura pugna con Hillary Clinton, mientras que John McCain, que se impuso muy pronto a sus rivales republicanos, ha pasado hasta hoy casi inadvertido para los medios extranjeros. Obama es joven, ofrece una imagen optimista de futuro, y pertenece a una minoría racial otrora discriminada, algo que siempre toca alguna que otra fibra piadosa.
Hasta aquí el poder de la imagen, y también sus límites. Poco se ha dicho del programa de Obama, que está -en materia de política social- en las antípodas del que defiende el electorado conservador europeo. En cambio, la agenda de John McCain conecta plenamente con las preocupaciones del votante de derechas y de centro: defensa de la familia, de la vida, de la libertad, y -a mayor abundamiento- un planteamiento del problema de los inmigrantes ilegales mucho más sensible que el oficial que hasta hoy ha mantenido el partido republicano.
Pero es en política exterior donde el votante europeo debe saber con quién se juega la cartera. John McCain lleva muchos años forjando alianzas con personalidades europeas, mientras que el candidato demócrata es absolutamente novel en materia de política exterior y sólo está interesado por la agenda nacional. Cuando habla de conflictos internacionales, los resbalones de Barack Obama son antológicos, pero no trascienden en un electorado que, en buena parte, no sabría situar a España en el mapa.
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The madness lies in asserting something ... contrary to all evidence and intelligence. The method is doing it again and again, relentlessly, at full volume ... This is how Trump became president twice.