America Is Paving the Way for Selling Weapons to Taiwan

Published in Sina
(China) on 26 Agusut 2011
by Ding Gang (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Liangzi He. Edited by Derek Ha.
Upon seeing the Pentagon’s newly-released 2011 report on China’s military and security, many Chinese must feel that the U.S. government is harping on the same string again. The U.S. Department of Defense plays by the same rules each year, producing a report on China which appeals to some congressmen’s desires to interfere in other countries’ domestic affairs.

Such reports have been made for several consecutive years, and they have generally repeated themselves. Such reports are like chicken bones; they are tasteless, but one is unwilling to throw them away. U.S. politics has reached a stage at which its policy toward China consists of mere formalities. Without loud complaints about China’s growing military might, who would American weapons companies (which form a powerful interest group) sell their products to?

Looking at this year’s report, it seems that there are two new concepts. One is that China’s modernized army may be used as a weapon to increase its diplomatic leverage or settle disputes in its favor; officials in the Pentagon expressed their serious concern about this. The other one is a call to increase intelligence about China’s development of aircraft carriers, anti-ship missiles and airplanes.

Truthfully, these two concepts are nothing new. What big country’s diplomacy is not supported by its military power? America itself is an example of this. Also, while the aircraft carrier may be new to China, it is not new at all for developed countries like the U.S. or even some less developed countries. Why can’t China develop one if other countries already have it? Moreover, if other countries’ aircraft carriers are not threats, then why is China’s?

Nevertheless, if we have to say that there is something new in the report, then what we need to pay attention to is the time at which the report was released. Right before the report was released, some American congressmen criticized the Pentagon for putting off the report’s completion for five months in order to please China. Of course, these people don’t just care about whether or not the Pentagon is following procedures; some of them are also promoting the sale of weapons to Taiwan. One of them even went the factory of Lockheed Martin, a company which manufactures the F-16 fighter.

In terms of timing, the release of the Pentagon’s report may not be uncoordinated with the congressional clamoring. The two events may even have been deliberately made to coincide. U.S. lawmakers want the weapons deal with Taiwan to be made on National Day of the People’s Republic of China, which is about one month from now. Therefore, now is the perfect time to start warming up. In addition, America’s Vice President Biden has just finished his visit to China. There seems to be no major projects or events between China and the U.S. for a period of time.

In fact, before Washington D.C. takes any action regarding China, it always carefully calculates the timing. If the timing is not right, Washington may offend China and cause damage in the big picture. If the military report was released before May, the atmosphere of U.S.-China military communication would no doubt have been destroyed; the Pentagon is not that stupid. The problem is that as the U.S. and China become increasingly close, it will get trickier to figure out how not to offend China.

In terms of its content, the report implied that China’s growing military power will destroy the stability of Asia-Pacific area and that Taiwan is still the main target of China’s military modernization. The report said that when it comes to military power, the balance between mainland China and Taiwan is swinging in favor of Beijing. After the report was released, Taiwanese authorities immediately claimed that it proved the problem of imbalance that Taiwan’s Ministry of National Defense has been talking about for so long. It is said that President Ma called upon the U.S. to sell defensive weapons like F-16 C/D and F-16 A/B fighters under the Tawian Relations Act as soon as possible.

The way is already completely paved. What will come next in this play which was staged for the purpose of giving weapons to Taiwan? Will Washington D.C. do as some congressmen have suggested and sell 66 F-16 fighters to Taiwan at once? I’m afraid this is the topic we should focus on.

The author is a senior reporter for People’s Daily.


2011年08月26日09:45 环球时报

老调重弹,看到五角大楼新发布的《中国2011年度军事与安全发展报告》,相信很多中国人都会有这样的感觉。美国国防部“照章办事”,推出了每年一度的中国军力报告,也满足了国会山议员的“干政欲”。

  这样的报告连续做了几年,大体上是自己在重复自己,好似鸡肋一个,啃之无味,弃之不能。美国政治走到这一步,在对华关系的一些政策方面,已经完全变成一种走过场。要是不总嚷嚷中国军力更强了,那帮利益集团又把武器卖给谁呢?

  从今年的报告看,似乎有两个“新意”,一是中国的现代化军队“可能被用来增加中国获取外交优势或有利于其解决争端的能力”,五角大楼的人士还煞有介事地对此表示担忧;二是增加了对中国发展航母、反舰弹道导弹及飞机等方面的信息。

  其实这两点完全算不上什么新意,哪个大国强国的外交会不靠军力支撑呢?美国自己就是这样做的典范。二是航母等所谓的“新型武器”,在中国军队来说是新的,在包括美国在内的诸多大国,甚至某些中等国家来说,早就不是什么新玩意了。别人可以有的,中国为什么不能有?别人有了不构成威胁,怎么到了中国就成了威胁?

  不过,要说新意,倒还真有一点需要我们特别注意的,那就是这份报告的出台时间。就在报告出台前不久,一些美国议员跳出来,指责五角大楼推迟了五个月不拿出“已经完成”的报告,是为了“取悦中国”。这些人当然不只是关心五角大楼有没有按程序走,其中有几个恰恰就是这些天一直在闹着要推动对台售武的人。有一个不久前还去了趟制造F-16战机的洛克希德-马丁公司的工厂。

  从时机上看,五角大楼现在出台这个报告,与这些议员的吵嚷并非完全不对调,甚至可能是做过精心测算的。按照这些美国议员们的设想,这桩买卖应该在中国国庆节敲定,离现在差不多还有一个多月的时间,正好可以做一点预热。而美国副总统拜登也刚刚结束对华访问。中美关系在接下来的这段时间里可能不会有什么“大节目”。

  实际上,现在华盛顿在对中国“出招”之前,总会小心翼翼地计算好时间。因为时间算不好,得罪了中国,会伤了大局。如果这份军力报告真的在五个月前推出,那无疑会破坏中美军事交流的气氛,五角大楼不会那么蠢。可现在的问题是,中美的交往将越来越紧密,这样的时机恐怕是越来越难找了。

  从内容上看,报告暗示,中国军力的发展可能会破坏亚太地区稳定,而台湾依旧是中国军队现代化重点针对的目标,大陆与台湾军力的平衡“不断偏向对北京有利”发展。报告出台后,台湾当局在第一时间表态,遥相呼应,称报告内容证明了台湾“国防部”一再强调的台海军力失衡问题。据说“马总统”已呼吁美方,依《与台湾关系法》,尽快供售台湾所需包括F-16C/D战机、F-16A/B战机性能提升的部件与柴电潜艇等防卫武器。

  铺垫已经做好,接下来要上演的会是怎样一出对台售武的戏呢?华盛顿会不会按照议员们的“建议”,一举给台湾卖出66架F-16战机呢?这恐怕才是我们真正应当关注的事情。▲(作者是人民日报高级记者)
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