America’s Strategy Is Changing from ‘Rule by Order’ to ‘Rule by Chaos’

Published in Huanqiu
(China) on 29 December 2014
by Yang Yucai (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Yuzhi Yang. Edited by Stephen Proctor.
America’s hegemonic strategy is casting a shadow on the safe development in many regions of the world. It is due to a declining America who cannot help but move to “rule by chaos,” as in manipulating chaotic situations to control regions, from “rule by order” as its strategy. “Rule by chaos” is a different type of strategy from the old one, it will undoubtedly bring special challenges to newly created great nations on their paths of peaceful development.

America’s pursuit of “rule by chaos” is directly due to its collapsed dreams of dominating the whole globe. Due to the frequent strategic failures, America has caused Central Asia, the Middle East, Eastern Europe and other regions to fall into a messy and half-broken down state. Because of the financial crisis and the decline of its strength, America has tried more and more to maintain its hegemony with “controllable chaos.” The U.S. even allowed some regions to lose control. America would rather acknowledge the bankruptcy of its theory in regions where it does not have the energy or ability to control, and let the regions fall into disarray in order to prevent any anti-American forces from taking over the regional order in the short-term.

America’s fantasy of “rule by order” deflated because it cannot adjust to the international political demands of a new era. The most obvious demonstration of this is its inability to handle relationships with newly emerging great nations. Currently, America has three choices for its global strategy. One, it could change its course, adjust and build new relationships with great nations, control its monopolizing ambitions, and improve the global order. Two, it could start over and use America’s relationships with Western interest groups, redesign its hegemony blueprint, and maintain its status quo. This is America’s current path. It is trying to use the trans-Pacific partnership agreement and the trans-Atlantic trade and investment partnership agreement to reorganize its strategic relationships, build a new power center, and reinforce its territory. This would inevitably lead to cliques and cut-throat competition. Third, it could choose secondary regions outside its target regions. America could allow those areas to develop freely, or choose to “set fires” and “plant mines” there. Even if America cannot maintain its hegemony, it cannot give up nor go against "rule by order."

The Asia-Pacific region is now key to maintaining a hegemonic order, and America has also begun to try “rule by chaos.” America chose to shift its strategic center east and strengthen its “rebalancing of the Asia-Pacific” strategy, which mainly targets China. This strategy has led to the endless disputes and conflicts in the Asia-Pacific region in recent years and is the ultimate reason for the emergence of a messy state of affairs. Right now, America is pursuing controllable chaos and tension in the Asia-Pacific, which has not reached the indulgent and vicious state in the Middle East and Middle Asia. America forced some countries to challenge China and used “color revolutions” in its attacks on China. Therefore, China needs to stabilize its home front. China is using the “one belt and one road” strategy (China’s Marshall Plan) to help third-world countries develop and isolate its competitors and is also using multiple tactics to make its hegemonic allies realize their situation. At the same time, looking for strategic partners, the comprehensive strategic partnership with Russia, and the relationships with countries in the Shanghai Cooperation Organization (China, Russia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Tajikistan and Uzbekistan) and the BRICS countries (Brazil, Russia, India, China and South Africa) are very important.


美国的霸权战略正在给世界多个地区的安全发展投下阴影。根源在于实力下降的美国越来越倾向于采取一种以“霸权之乱”取代“霸权之治”的无奈做法,即通过操纵乱局控制地区。“霸权之乱”作为一种另类的“战略”,无疑会给新兴大国的和平发展带来特别挑战。

  美国寻求“霸权之乱”的直接原因是实现全球霸权治理的理想破灭。由于战略决策频频失误,美国致使中亚、中东乃至东欧等多个地区进入一种混乱或半失序状态。由于金融危机和实力对比下降,美国开始更多地通过“可控混乱”维持霸权,甚至不惜任由一些地区混乱失控。在没有精力或能力控制的地区,美国认可“可控混乱”理论的破产,宁愿让这些地区陷入失控状态,以此防止短期内可能出现反美国霸权的地区秩序。

  美国“霸权之治”的理想破灭是因为不能适应新时代的国际政治要求,突出表现为不能有效处置与新兴大国的关系。当前,美国的国际战略选择有三种,其一是改弦易辙,调整和建立新型大国关系,通过约束独霸野心,而改良全球秩序。各种迹象表明,这条路美国不想走。其二是另起炉灶,依据美国与西方利益集团的关系,重新设计霸权政治版图,划地为“营”。这是美国正在走的路,力图通过跨太平洋伙伴协定与跨大西洋投资与贸易伙伴协定整合战略关系,另立山头,巩固阵地。这样就难免要拉帮结派,恶性竞争。其三是在目标地区之外的次要区域选择。美国可以选择放任自由发展,也可以选择“纵火”和“布雷”。既然不能行霸权之治,那也决不能形成无霸权之治,更不要说反霸权之治。

  当前亚太地区已成为维持霸权秩序的关键,美国在该地区也开始尝试“霸权之乱”。美国采取战略重心东移和加强主要针对中国的“亚太再平衡”战略是近年来亚太地区纷争和争端不断、乱局乱象初显的真正源头。目前,美国在亚太地区追求的是可控的混乱和紧张,还没达到在中东和中亚那种放任恶性混乱的地步。美国教唆部分国家挑衅中国,并通过策动颜色革命,加强对中国翼侧进攻。因此,中国需要先稳住大后方。中国实施“一路一带”战略,帮助第三世界国家发展的同时,还要孤立对手,采取多种措施,促使霸权的盟友国家认清形势。与此同时,寻求战略伙伴,与俄罗斯的全面战略协作伙伴关系,以及上合组织和金砖国家的多边关系具有重要意义。▲(作者是国防大学战略教研部教授)
This post appeared on the front page as a direct link to the original article with the above link .

Hot this week

Austria: Musk, the Man of Scorched Earth

Austria: Trump’s Film Tariffs Hurt Hollywood

Mexico: EU: Concern for the Press

Japan: Trump’s 100 Days: A Future with No Visible Change So Far

Austria: The Deal for Kyiv Is Better Than the Many Threats against It

Topics

Austria: The Deal for Kyiv Is Better Than the Many Threats against It

Austria: Trump’s Film Tariffs Hurt Hollywood

Japan: Trump’s 100 Days: A Future with No Visible Change So Far

Mexico: EU: Concern for the Press

Austria: Musk, the Man of Scorched Earth

Germany: Cynicism, Incompetence and Megalomania

Austria: Donald Trump Revives the Liberals in Canada

Germany: Absolute Arbitrariness

Related Articles

Mexico: The Trump Problem

Taiwan: Making America Great Again and Taiwan’s Crucial Choice

Venezuela: Vietnam: An Outlet for China

Germany: US Companies in Tariff Crisis: Planning Impossible, Price Increases Necessary

India: World in Flux: India Must See Bigger Trade Picture

2 COMMENTS

  1. It is not America, but China that seeks to manipulate Asia. China’s belligerence in pushing its vast territorial demands through intimidation and even armed confrontation with weaker states is the only cause of instability and any potential “chaos” in the region. Yes, America benefits by free trade, but don’t forget how America assisted China to become a part of the world trading order through their support for its membership in the WTO.