Fighting for US Support Is No Blessing for Taiwan

Published in China Review News
(Hong Kong) on 19 November 2015
by Chih-yu Shih (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Anthony Chantavy. Edited by Helaine Schweitzer.
After the Ma-Xi meeting, Eric Chu took the opportunity to visit the United States.* Along with his promise to maintain peace across the strait, he also depends on the U.S. for support—Tsai Ing-wen's relationship with the U.S. is not as close—and this may enliven the elections.** To Taiwan, though, the question is actually not whether Chu is counting on the U.S. for extra votes, but rather when Taiwan will really develop its individualized political culture. If Taiwan's ruling and opposition parties fight for U.S. support, no matter who wins, it will not be a blessing for Taiwan.

To understand the problems brought by the U.S., we can analyze them from within and without. Internally, Taiwan is historically influenced by the U.S. and seriously needs to build self-respect, and it gets none from mainland China. At its very core, Taiwan is dependent on America in every way and has no sense of self-confidence. Nodding to America has immediately become the principle tactic for Taiwan's ruling and opposition parties. When Chu visited the U.S., Tsai thought of every way to prove that she had a closer relationship with the U.S., but ended up displaying false confidence. Flaunting "self-respect" to Beijing with such a lack of confidence is, of course, like climbing a tree to catch a fish.

Externally, in response to the recent Middle East fighting, and on top of that a new wave of anti-terrorism activity incited by the shocking Paris attacks, America will undoubtedly call for peace in cross-strait relations. Any possibility of Beijing worsening the cross-strait conflict must be suppressed. If Beijing's influence reaches its peak, Taiwan will lose its chance to turn the situation around. Taiwan's dependence on America has been its way of resisting mainland China. And when America wants to keep its ties with mainland China, Taiwan loses its will to resist. Isn't this a case of confusing cause and effect? It is clear that if Taiwan does not break free of America, not only will it not be able to resist mainland China, but it could even collapse from the weight of its own accumulated hatred.

Therefore, as the publicity war between the ruling and opposition parties focusing on America grows, trending one way or another on the issue of Chu's favorability and determining whether America likes Chu or Tsai better, what Taiwan loses immediately is its self-determination. If this persists, Taiwan will join the outside world in condemning Ma Ying-jeou for speaking his true feelings at the meeting. Everyone is waiting for Ma to call out Xi Jinping, but with this timidity toward America, even Tsai's faith in Taiwan’s independence will not help, not to mention Chu's lack thereof.

Ironically, Joseph Wu, a strong advocate of joining U.S. anti-terrorism efforts, is Tsai's national security strategist. If he switches to the Kuomintang, there will be no need for adjustment. However, if Tsai stops her game of flattery, no matter how Chu tries to do the same in the current election situation, he will still be in an inferior position. So, doesn't Taiwan have a huge opportunity to elect a "president" who at least on the surface needs no approval from America? Whichever candidate breaks away from his or her current methods of resorting to the U.S. for election support will really experience a sense of self-confidence. Only then can the candidate appreciate the Ma-Xi meeting, and in the next cross-strait contact, receive the treatment that he or she deserves.

*Editor’s note: The Ma-Xi Meeting refers to a summit between leaders of China and Taiwan on Nov. 7, 2015. China’s President Xi Jinping and Taiwan’s President Ma Ying-jeou met to exchange views on cross-strait relations. Eric Chu is chairman of Taiwan’s ruling Nationalist Party.

**Editor’s note: Trai Ing-wen is the incumbent chairwoman of Taiwan’s Democratic Progressive Party and its presidential candidate in 2016.

The author, Chih-yu Shih, is a political science professor at the National Taiwan University.


中評社台北11月19日電(特約作者 石之瑜)馬習會之後,朱立倫順勢訪問美國,一方面挾馬習會掀起的兩岸維持和平現狀的承諾,二方面站在讚賞馬習會的美國巨人肩膀上,大有找到蔡英文罩門,讓選情起死回生的跡象。但是,對台灣而言,問題實不在於朱立倫是否能靠美國轉向支持他,而爭取更多選票,而在於台灣什麼時候才能真正發展出有自己個性的政治文化。若朝野爭相討好美國,任憑誰繼任,都絕不會是台灣之福。

  依附美國所帶來的問題,可以分成內、外兩方面來分析。內在方面,台灣受其歷史影響,亟須建立自尊,而面對大陸,總覺得不受尊重。就其根本,唯諸事仰美國鼻息,缺乏內生的自信所致。故美國使個眼色,立刻成為朝野攻防的主軸。朱立倫訪美之際,蔡英文想方設法證明自己與美國關係更密切,反而予人心虛之印象。如此沒有自信,卻要在北京面前表現自尊,當然是緣木求魚。

  對外方面,美國為因應中東方興未艾的戰事,加上駭人聽聞的巴黎恐攻帶動新一波反恐,在兩岸關係上勢必求穩,則任何導致北京升高兩岸衝突的可能性,都要壓制。影響所及,台灣將失去轉圜空間。台灣依附美國的動機,本是要抗衡大陸,當美國也要維繫與大陸的關係時,台灣就失去與大陸抗衡的意志,這不是本末倒置嗎? 可見,不擺脫依附美國的話,台灣不但不能抗衡大陸,甚至積怨而因此內鬥的情況,還將變本加厲。

所以,當朝野的宣傳戰集中在美國是不是見異思遷,對朱立倫比較青睞的問題上,亦即比賽美國更喜歡朱立倫還是蔡英文,台灣立即失去的,就是作為自己的意志。持續這樣的台灣,就會和外界指控馬習會中馬英九看似陳情的姿態,相互輝映。大家期待馬英九當面嗆聲習近平,但在這樣怯懦的對美心態下,就算是有堅定“台獨”信仰的蔡英文也做不到,何況是沒有信仰的朱立倫。

  諷刺的是,當初力主配合美國反恐的吳釗燮,就是蔡英文的“國安”策士。他如果改仕國民黨,恐怕毫無調整需要。然而,如果蔡英文停止諂媚,任憑朱立倫去唱媚美獨角戲,以目前選情來看,朱立倫依舊望塵莫及,那台灣豈不大有機會產生一位起碼表面上不是美國欽定的“總統”?誰能擺脫欽點“總統”的心態,誰便能確實體會到自信人格的悸動,也才有可能欣賞馬習會,進而在下一次兩岸接觸中,實踐真正屬於自己人格的對等。
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