Ant Group’s US Setback Sends a Clear Signal

Published in Guangming Daily
(China) on 16 October 2020
by Guangming.com commentator (link to originallink to original)
Translated from by Jo Sharp. Edited by Helaine Schweitzer.
The media reported yesterday that the U.S. Department of State had submitted a proposal asking the administration to add Alibaba’s Ant Group to a trade blacklist. According to reports, “China hardliners in the Trump administration are seeking to send a message to deter U.S. investors from taking part in the initial public offering for Ant.”* In a sense, the U.S. is sending this signal only to Ant Group or Alibaba, but to all Chinese companies that have cross-border operations, especially in or through the United States.

It was previously reported that Ant Group was planning a dual listing in Shanghai and Hong Kong, which, according to estimates could bring the company’s initial public offering to $35 billion and is expected to become the world’s largest listing. The report said that the State Department proposed putting Ant on the trade blacklist because Trump administration officials fear the Chinese government could access sensitive banking data belonging to future U.S. users. This is not the first time that the U.S has used concerns about the spread of sensitive data as a justification to prevent a Chinese company from doing cross-border business, nor is it the first time Ant Group has been restricted from doing business on such grounds. In 2017, Ant Financial failed to acquire U.S. firm MoneyGram. This was also blocked on the grounds that any future leaks of personal information of U.S. consumers might threaten U.S. national security as well as the fact there was a lack of transparency about the acquirer’s funding sources.

The issue of data security has become the extraterritorial long-arm way for the United States to block Chinese companies from conducting cross-border international business. Especially where financial or data businesses are concerned, the United States, which dominates the operation of the international financial system and is a world leader in data technology and its applications, seems to make decisions based on U.S. domestic law. This will greatly affect the business expansion of the companies which are restricted and, as a result, its market prospects. Of course, as the report says, even if the Trump administration adopts the State Department’s proposal to put Ant Group on the trade blacklist, the impact on Ant Group is likely to be more symbolic.

But, in fact, the problem is not limited to the impact of blacklisting on Ant Group’s IPO. For the Ant Group, being included on the trade blacklist is a millstone around its neck. Even if the weight doesn’t concern Ant Group, it may deter potential investors. One can only assume that the weight exists, and Ant Group’s overseas IPOs and dollar-related businesses will have to constantly pay attention to them. The psychological impact this causes investors will directly or indirectly affect Ant Group’s business development.

In this situation, just as TikTok’s business has been blocked abroad, the United States’ long-arm practices are unlikely to be deterred by the efforts of just one company. In particular, for Chinese companies with cross-border business, its mainland business may be bigger; this is dictated by the size of China’s domestic market, but to be stronger, it will have to compete in international markets. This sort of competition is not only the basis for contemporary international trade and economics, but is the only way to open up China. It is quite a challenge knowing what to do in this situation.


*Editor’s note: Ant Group, formerly known as Ant Financial and Alipay, is an affiliate company of the Chinese Alibaba Group.


昨天(10月15日)有媒体报道说,美国国务院已提交一份方案,要求政府将阿里巴巴旗下的蚂蚁集团列入贸易黑名单。报道称,美国的“对华强硬派正寻求传递出一个信号,阻止美国投资者参与蚂蚁集团的首次公开发行(IPO)”。在某种意义上,这个信号不独是传递给蚂蚁集团或阿里巴巴的,而是传递给所有有跨境业务、尤其是在美国或通过美国开展跨境业务的中国公司的。
  早前曾有消息称,蚂蚁集团计划在上海和香港两地上市,据估计,这或将使蚂蚁集团的IPO规模达到350亿美元,有望成为全球最大上市案。前述报道说,美国国务院之所以提议将蚂蚁集团列入贸易黑名单,是因为“美国官员担心,蚂蚁金服集团可能会让中国政府获得美国用户敏感的银行数据”。担心敏感数据扩散,这不是美国第一次使用这样的理由来阻止中国公司的跨境国际业务,也不是蚂蚁集团第一次被以这种理由限制开展业务。2017年,蚂蚁金服收购美国速汇金(MoneyGram)公司以失败告终,同样是以涉及美国消费者个人信息外泄或将威胁美国国家安全,以及并购方自身的资金来源透明度不高等理由受阻。
  数据安全问题,已经成为美国“长臂”阻止中国公司开展跨境国际业务的拿手武器。尤其是在涉及金融业务和数据业务领域内,作为主导国际金融体系运行和数据技术及其应用领跑世界的美国,其看似依据美国国内法所做出的相关决定,将极大地影响到其所要限制的公司的业务拓展,因而影响到公司的市场前景。当然,正如上述报道所说,即使特朗普政府采纳了美国国务院的提议,将蚂蚁集团列入贸易黑名单,这对蚂蚁集团的影响“可能更多是象征性的”。
  但是,实际上,此中问题还不限于蚂蚁集团被列入贸易黑名单对其当下IPO的影响。对于蚂蚁集团而言,其被列入贸易黑名单,就犹如在头顶上被悬了一双靴子,且这双靴子即使没有让蚂蚁集团畏惧,却可以让蚂蚁集团潜在的投资者却步。顺理成章的则是,靴子既悬,蚂蚁集团境外IPO以及涉美元业务,就要时时留意靴子的状态,由此给投资人造成的心理状态,将会直接或间接地影响蚂蚁集团业务的开展。
  这种状况,也正如TikTok的业务在境外遇阻一样,单靠一家公司的一臂之力怕是难以掰得动美国的“长臂”。特别是,对于有跨境业务的中国公司来说,其内循环的业务也许会做大——这是中国内需的市场规模所决定的,但是,其要做强,就必须参与国际市场的竞争。这种竞争,不仅是当代国际经济与贸易得以进行的基础,也是开放中国的必由之路。在此情况下怎么办,还真要颇费一番思量。
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